US STOCKS-S&P 500 ends down as hot US inflation data hints at fewer rate cuts

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 02/12/25 04:00 PM EST

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CVS Health (CVS) rises after beating profit estimates

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Lyft (LYFT) falls as Q1 bookings forecast misses estimates

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January CPI at 3% YoY vs 2.9% estimate

(Updates with market close)

By Noel Randewich and Shashwat Chauhan

Feb 12 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended down on Wednesday after a hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation reading added to worries that the Federal Reserve would not cut interest rates anytime soon, while CVS Health (CVS) and Gilead Sciences (GILD) rallied after upbeat quarterly reports.

Nvidia (NVDA) and Amazon (AMZN) dipped, with the two AI computing heavyweights weighing on the S&P 500.

U.S. consumer prices increased in January by the most in nearly a year and a half, reinforcing the Fed's message that it was in no rush to resume cutting rates.

The surge in prices offered a cautionary note to President Donald Trump's push for tariffs on imported goods, which economists have panned as inflationary.

Interest rate futures now suggest traders see about a 70% chance the Fed will reduce rates by another 25 basis points by the end of 2025, down from about an 80% chance on Tuesday, according to CME Fedwatch.

"The market is digesting that the Fed may not cut at all. That's why the stock market is down, said Jake Dollarhide, CEO of Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 lost 16.58 points, or 0.28%, to end at 6,051.92 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 6.10 points, or 0.03%, to 19,649.95. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 224.97 points, or 0.50%, to 44,368.68.

CVS Health (CVS) surged after the healthcare conglomerate beat fourth-quarter profit estimates, hinting at improved performance under new CEO David Joyner.

Gilead Sciences (GILD) jumped after the biotech company forecast 2025 earnings above analyst estimates.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell also began his second day of testimony before Congress on Wednesday. On Tuesday, he reiterated to the Senate Banking Committee that the U.S. central bank was in no rush to cut rates again.

January's reading is the last inflation reading before any direct impact from Trump's tariff measures, which went into effect this month.

Trump's trade advisers are finalizing plans for the reciprocal tariffs on every country that charges duties on U.S. imports.

The Cboe Volatility Index, known as Wall Street's "fear gauge," jumped to its highest in a week.

Treasury yields shot up after the inflation data, with the one on the 10-year note hitting its highest in over two weeks.

Lyft (LYFT) dropped after the ride-hailing company forecast current-quarter gross bookings below estimates.

(Reporting by Shashwat Chauhan and Sukriti Gupta in Bengaluru; Editing by Maju Samuel and David Gregorio)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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