CANADA FX DEBT-Canadian dollar stabilizes as tariff concerns ebb

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 02/05/25 03:23 PM EST

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Loonie touches a 2-week high at 1.4266

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Canada posts first trade surplus in 10 months

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Price of U.S. oil settles 2.3% lower

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Bond yields ease across the curve

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, Feb 5 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar steadied near a two-week high against its U.S. counterpart on Wednesday as data showed Canada's trade balance shifting into surplus, with the currency holding on to its gains since Canada won a reprieve from U.S. trade tariffs.

The loonie was trading nearly unchanged at 1.4320 per U.S. dollar, or 69.83 U.S. cents, after touching its strongest intraday level since January 20 at 1.4266.

"Tariff worries are easing - for now, at least - which is allowing the CAD to stabilize," Shaun Osborne, chief currency strategist at Scotiabank, said in a note.

"Unless trade talks deteriorate significantly again, there is a chance that the USD-CAD peak reached Monday near 1.48 will represent a significant high-water mark for spot."

The Canadian currency touched a 22-year low on Monday at 1.4793 before news of a 30-day pause on U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports which had been due to take effect on Tuesday.

The U.S. dollar fell to its lowest in more than a week against a basket of major currencies as investor nerves about a global trade war abated.

Canada in December posted its first trade surplus in 10 months as exports expanded faster than imports, helped by a push by U.S. businesses to build up inventory ahead of potential tariffs.

S&P Global's Canada services PMI data was more downbeat. It showed the services economy deteriorating for the second straight month in January as uncertainty generated by the threat of tariffs offset lower borrowing costs.

The price of oil, one of Canada's major exports, settled 2.3% lower at $71.03 a barrel as a large build in U.S. crude and gasoline stockpiles signaled weaker demand.

Canadian bond yields fell across the curve. The 10-year was down 6.4 basis points at 2.949%, moving closer to a 4-1/2-month low it touched on Monday. (Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Alistair Bell)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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