JGB yields rise to multi-year highs as markets weigh US tariffs

BY Reuters | TREASURY | 02/04/25 01:50 AM EST

By Brigid Riley

TOKYO, Feb 4 (Reuters) - Japanese government bond (JGB) yields rose to multi-year highs on Tuesday alongside U.S. Treasury yields as investors continued to weigh the impact of U.S. tariffs while eyeing the Bank of Japan's rate path outlook.

The 10-year JGB yield touched a 14-year peak of 1.27%, while 10-year JGB futures fell 0.21 points to 140.54 yen.

JGB yields followed U.S. Treasury yields higher, with ten-year U.S. Treasury yields hovering around 4.57% during Asian hours.

U.S. President Donald Trump suspended his threat of steep tariffs on Mexico and Canada on Monday, agreeing to a 30-day pause to negotiate with the two trade partners.

Trump's additional 10% tariff across all Chinese imports into the U.S. came into effect at 12:01 a.m. ET on Tuesday (0501 GMT), spurring a tit-for-tat from China.

Elsewhere, BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda reiterated on Tuesday the central bank will aim to achieve 2% inflation on a sustained basis.

Markets are eyeing the BOJ's July meeting as the next possible time for it to raise interest rates.

There is a strong consensus in the market that the BOJ will raise rates every six months to around 1%, a view that has more or less been completely factored in, Nomura's chief macro strategist Naka Matsuzawa said.

The Japan policy rate stands at 0.5% after the BOJ hiked rates last month.

BOJ policymakers have been reluctant to give guidance about the terminal rate, but "at some point before they even get to 1%, they have to start communicating with the market", Matsuzawa said.

The two-year JGB yield sat 1.5 basis points higher at 0.735%, having briefly touched its highest since October 2008 at 0.74%.

The five-year yield rose 3 bps to 0.925%, a level last seen in November 2008.

The 20-year JGB yield also climbed 3 bps to 1.985%. The 30-year JGB yield ticked up 2.5 bps to 2.325%.

(Reporting by Brigid Riley; Editing by Mrigank Dhaniwala)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

fir_news_article