Euro area bond yields edge up ahead of German inflation data

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 02:46 AM EST

By Stefano Rebaudo

Jan 31 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields inched higher on Friday ahead of German inflation data as Thursday's European Central Bank policy meeting led investors to confirm their expectations for the monetary easing path.

The ECB cut interest rates and policymakers guided for a further reduction in March as concerns over lacklustre economic growth supersede worries about persistent inflation.

Markets also await later in the session the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation.

Germany's 10-year bond yield, the euro area's benchmark, rose 2 basis points (bps) to 2.54%.

Money markets priced in a 84% chance of a 25 bps ECB cut in March and a depo rate at 2.05% at the end of 2025, in line with the levels seen on Thursday before the ECB statement.

Germany's two-year bond yield, more sensitive to ECB rate expectations, was up 2 bps at 2.22%.

Italy's 10-year yield was 2.5 bps lower at 3.62%. The gap between Italian and German yields -- a market gauge of the risk premium investors demand to hold Italian debt -- was at 108 bps, not far from its lowest level since October 2021 at 104.50 bps.

The yield spread between OATs and Bunds stood at 74.50 bps. It widened to around 90 bps, its highest since 2012, in mid-January and end-November amid fears that France would be unable to cut its growing budget deficit. (Reporting by Stefano Rebaudo; Editing by Toby Chopra)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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