PRECIOUS-Gold hits over 1-month peak on Fed rate-cut hopes

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 01/15/25 08:27 PM EST

Jan 16 (Reuters) - Gold prices hit more than one-month highs on Thursday in early Asian hours after data showed U.S. core inflation rose less than expected in December, raising hopes that the Federal Reserve could ease interest rates further.

FUNDAMENTALS

* Spot gold was flat at $2,695.84 per ounce, as of 0051 GMT, after hitting its highest since Dec. 12 earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures gained 0.2% to $2,723.80.

* Supporting bullion, the U.S. Treasury yields fell and the dollar pared some losses against major peers on Wednesday but stayed weaker.

* Expectations for more Fed rate cuts this year increased following the CPI data, and odds for an at least 25 basis point cut at the June Fed meeting.

* The Fed is expected to hold its benchmark rate steady in the current 4.25%-4.50% range at its next policy meeting on Jan. 28-29.

* Concerns linger about potential tariffs from President-elect Donald Trump's incoming administration that could further stoke inflation.

* The central bank officials said data released on Wednesday showed U.S. inflation was continuing to ease even as they noted heightened uncertainty in the coming months, as they await a first glimpse of the incoming Trump administration's policies.

* On the geopolitical front, Hamas and Israel reached a deal for a ceasefire in Gaza that mediators said would take effect on Sunday and include a release of hostages held there during 15 months of bloodshed that devastated the Palestinian enclave and inflamed the Middle East.

* Spot silver shed 0.3% to $30.57 per ounce and palladium steadied at $961.45. Platinum added 0.2% to $940.45.

DATA/EVENTS (GMT) 0700 Germany HICP Final YY Dec 0700 UK GDP Est 3M/3M, GDP Estimate MM, GDP Estimate YY Nov 0700 UK Services MM, Services YY Nov 0700 UK Manufacturing Output MM Nov 1000 EU Total Trade Balance SA Nov 1330 US Import Prices YY Dec 1330 US Initial Jobless Clm 11 Jan, w/e 1330 US Philly Fed Business Indx Jan 1330 US Retail Sales MM Dec 1530 US EIA-Nat Gas Chg Bcf 10 Jan, w/e 1530 US Nat Gas-EIA Implied Flow 10 Jan w/e (Reporting by Rahul Paswan in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi Aich)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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