GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks surge on US inflation reading, upbeat earnings
BY Reuters | TREASURY | 03:35 PM EST*
US stocks rise after core inflation up less than forecast
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U.S. Treasury yields fall with dollar
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Oil settles higher with sanction, stockpile draw support
(Updates prices to late afternoon including oil settlement)
By Sin?ad Carew and Amanda Cooper
NEW YORK/LONDON, Jan 15 (Reuters) - A global equities gauge rallied on Wednesday while the dollar fell with Treasury yields after data showed core U.S. inflation rose less than expected in December, raising hopes that the Federal Reserve could ease rates further.
Oil prices rallied with support from a large draw in U.S. crude stockpiles and potential supply disruptions from new U.S. sanctions on Russia. But oil gains were limited as U.S. and Qatar said negotiators reached a deal to end the war in Gaza between Israel and Hamas, after 15 months of bloodshed that killed tens of thousands of Palestinians and inflamed.
Earlier, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data showed the consumer price index (CPI) rose in line with expectations at an annual rate of 2.9% in December, from November's 2.7%.
But core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, rose by 3.2%, which was below forecasts for 3.3%.
Investors were particularly encouraged by the latest inflation reading since data released on Tuesday showed that
U.S. producer prices
increased moderately in December.
"You have back-to-back readings of inflationary data that clearly suggest we're in maybe a little bit better shape than was being talked about," said Phil Blancato, chief market strategist at Osaic Wealth in New York.
"The market, which has been starving for some piece of good news really since after the election, has gotten something that's a bit of a shot in the arm here, putting some sugar back in the punch bowl," said Blancato, noting that earlier data and Fed comments had implied "inflation was turning sideways, if not heating up again."
After Wednesday's release, traders were pricing close-to-even odds the Fed would cut interest rates twice by the end of this year, with the first reduction to come in June.
Adding to Wednesday's upbeat tone were bumper fourth-quarter
results from the likes of JPMorgan
On Wall Street, at 03:03 p.m. the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 779.84 points, or 1.83%, to 43,298.12, the S&P 500 rose 111.90 points, or 1.92%, to 5,954.81 and the Nasdaq Composite rose 472.09 points, or 2.48%, to 19,516.48.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose 13.32 points, or 1.60%, to 847.73. Earlier, Europe's STOXX 600 equity index had finished up 1.33%.
The U.S. dollar lost ground against a basket of currencies after the data. Japan's yen was already boosted overnight, as traders priced in a 70% chance the Bank of Japan would raise interest rates in January after Governor Kazuo Ueda said policy-makers would discuss such an option next week.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,
fell 0.08% to 109.11.
The euro was down 0.16% at $1.0291 while against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 0.94% to 156.48.
After the peace deal, the dollar was down 0.41% against the Israeli shekel in active trading.
In fixed income, U.S. Treasury yields fell after the inflation data implied that a 2025 rate hike, which some investors had entertained, was off the table for now. When, or by how much, the Fed might cut was still up for debate, however.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell 13.1 basis points to 4.657%, from 4.788% late on Tuesday. The 30-year bond yield fell 10.2 basis points to 4.8827%.
The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with Fed interest rate expectations, fell 9.7 basis points to 4.268%, from 4.365% late on Tuesday.
In energy markets, U.S. crude settled up 3.28% at $80.04 a barrel and Brent settled at $82.03 per barrel, up 2.64% on the day.
Spot gold rose 0.6% to $2,693.28 an ounce. U.S. gold futures rose 1.12% to $2,707.60 an ounce.
(Reporting by Sin?ad Carew, Caroline Valetkevitch, Medha Singh, Amanda Cooper, graphic by Stephen Culp; Editing by Kirsten Donovan and Nick Zieminski)