JGB yields slide to one-month lows on dovish BOJ signals

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 12/19/24 09:12 PM EST

By Kevin Buckland

TOKYO, Dec 20 (Reuters) - Japanese government bond yields dropped to the lowest in a month on Friday, a day after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda surprised markets with his very cautious tone on further policy tightening.

The five-year JGB yield dropped as much as 3 basis points (bps) to 0.68% for the first time since Nov. 13.

The 10-year JGB yield dropped as much as 5 bps to 1.03%.

The yield on the newly issued two-year JGB fell as low as 0.555%, the lowest since Nov. 20.

After maintaining policy status quo on Thursday, Ueda said in his news conference that the central bank will require "considerable time" to gauge the trend in wage increases and that "considerable uncertainty" remains around the outlook for the U.S. economy.

Following those comments, Nomura revised its call for a rate hike in January to the following meeting in March, with analysts saying Ueda "sounded more dovish than we expected".

Economists at Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities said, "We had the impression that a rate hike in January is quite possible, though his comments did not sound very hawkish in contrast to our prior expectations."

Superlong JGB yields also fell, but by smaller margins. The 20-year yield declined 3 bps to 1.845%, and the 30-year yield lost 2 bps to 2.25%.

Benchmark 10-year JGB futures were up 0.45 yen at 142.59 yen, as of 0153 GMT. Bond prices and yields move inversely. (Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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