US stocks end sharply higher, dollar drops after inflation report

BY Reuters | TREASURY | 12/19/24 09:06 PM EST

By Stephen Culp

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Wall Street surged on Friday and the dollar softened as cooler-than-expected inflation data helped investors look past the possibility of a government shutdown and fresh tariff threats from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump.

All three major U.S. stock indexes jumped more than 1%, gold surged and benchmark U.S. Treasury yields eased from multi-month highs.

A report from the Commerce Department showed the PCE price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation yardstick, came in cooler than analysts expected, supporting the narrative that price growth remains on a path toward achieving the U.S. central bank's 2% target.

"The better-than-expected reading for PCE, which is the Fed's favorite measure of inflation, allowed investors to breathe a sigh of relief because maybe inflation is not likely to be as much of a runaway situation as feared," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist of CFRA Research in New York.

Equity markets came under pressure throughout a busy week for central banks, led by the U.S. Federal Reserve, which signaled it would slow the pace of interest rates in the coming year.

Republican leaders in the U.S. House of Representatives said they would vote to keep the federal government operating beyond a midnight deadline and avert a damaging shutdown that could disrupt the Christmas holiday.

"The focus of the market over the last several days has been on the Fed's announcement that while they were lowering interest rates by 25 basis points, that they were going to begin to rein (future rate cuts) in, and it certainly shook the markets," said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist at Ingalls & Snyder in New York. "The potential government shutdown is the other big focus. Markets never like that."

The S&P 500, the Nasdaq and the Dow were all on course for weekly percentage declines.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 497.22 points, or 1.17%, to 42,839.46, the S&P 500 rose 63.93 points, or 1.09%, to 5,931.01 and the Nasdaq Composite rose 199.83 points, or 1.03%, to 19,572.60.

European stocks registered their worst week in over three months as Trump's comments about potential tariffs on the European Union spooked investors.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose 8.20 points, or 0.98%, to 847.61.

The STOXX 600 index fell 0.88%, while Europe's broad FTSEurofirst 300 index fell 19.25 points, or 0.96%.

Emerging-market stocks fell 7.38 points, or 0.68%, to 1,074.38. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan closed lower by 0.97%, to 567.00, while Japan's Nikkei fell 111.68 points, or 0.29%, to 38,701.90.

Treasury yields pulled back after cooler-than-expected inflation data bolstered expectations for two more rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in the coming year.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell 4.2 basis points to 4.528%, from 4.57% late on Thursday.

The 30-year bond yield fell 2.2 basis points to 4.7194% from 4.741% late on Thursday.

The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve, fell 0.4 basis points to 4.315%, from 4.319% late on Thursday.

The two-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest-rate expectations for the Federal Reserve, fell 1.1 basis points to 4.308%, from 4.319% late on Thursday.

The dollar softened against a basket of world currencies, but remained on track for its third consecutive weekly advance.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, fell 0.59% to 107.79, with the euro up 0.64% at $1.0428.

Against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 0.69% to 156.35.

Bitcoin reversed its losses in the wake of the inflation data.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin fell 0.88% to $96,462.00. Ethereum rose 0.72% to $3,440.32.

Oil prices edged higher as the dollar eased from two-year highs and as PCE data bolstered expectations for two additional interest rate cuts from the Fed in 2025.

U.S. crude gained 0.12% to $69.46 per barrel, while Brent settled at $72.94 per barrel, up 0.08% on the day.

Gold surged after the inflation report but still appeared set for a weekly loss.

Spot gold rose 1.11% to $2,622.62 an ounce. U.S. gold futures rose 1.41% to $2,628.70 an ounce.

(Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Iain Withers in London, Editing by William Maclean, Rod Nickel and Daniel Wallis)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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