UK gilt yields jump again after Fed signals go-slow on rate cuts

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 12/19/24 03:40 AM EST

LONDON, Dec 19 (Reuters) - British government bond prices fell sharply on Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve shocked global financial markets by signalling it would move slowly with cutting interest rates next year, despite lowering borrowing costs on Wednesday.

The yield on 10-year British gilts - which rises when prices fall - hit the highest since October 2023 at 4.656%, a jump of about 10 basis points on the day - roughly double the increase for German government bonds - before easing back a bit.

Two-year gilt yields climbed by a similar amount to reach their highest since May at 4.560%, also outpacing bunds.

British borrowing costs leapt earlier this week after official data showed faster-than-expected wage growth which could add to the Bank of England's worries about inflation and its reticence about cutting interest rates.

The gap between British and German 10-year government bond yields reached to its highest level in 34 years on Wednesday, in a sign of the diverging interest rate outlooks for the BoE and European Central Bank, and it widened further on Thursday.

British interest rate futures pointed to roughly 46 basis points of cuts to the BoE's benchmark Bank Rate by December 2025 - or slightly less than two quarter-point rate cuts - down from about 50 basis points of cuts priced in on Wednesday.

The BoE is expected to keep borrowing costs on hold at 1200 GMT on Thursday after its December monetary policy meeting and investors saw only a 42% chance of it cutting Bank Rate at its subsequent meeting in February.

The BoE has said it will move gradually to lower rates because of inflation pressures, despite signs of a slowdown in Britain's economy. (Writing by William Schomberg; editing by Sarah Young and Angus MacSwan)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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