Bitcoin Reclaims $101,000 As Inflation Hits 2.7% In November: 'Outlook Remains Bullish,' Says Analyst

BY Benzinga | ECONOMIC | 12/11/24 03:17 PM EST

Cryptocurrency analyst Benjamin Cowen provided an in-depth analysis of market trends, inflationary pressures and Bitcoin’s (CRYPTO: BTC) rally following Wednesday’s CPI report.

What Happened: Bitcoin surged past $100,000, reflecting bullish sentiment as consumer price inflation data for November came in at 2.7%, close to the Federal Reserve's 2% target.

In his analysis, Cowen examined four key aspects: on-chain indicators, regulatory environment, macroeconomic factors and market capitalization trends.

He notes that despite recent market turbulence, described as “the biggest liquidity flush since 2021,” the overall outlook remains bullish.

Key Insights:

  • Inflation Trends: Inflation remains slightly elevated, with Cowen noting the importance of monitoring its upward trend. While inflation has been declining since mid-2022, prices are stabilizing rather than falling?a key distinction.
  • Historical Context: Cowen compares today's inflationary environment to the 1970s, emphasizing the risk of recurring inflationary waves and cautioning against complacency.

Also Read: Billionaire Investor Ray Dalio Prefers ‘Hard Money Like Gold And Bitcoin’ For These 5 Reasons

Why It Matters: Cowen highlights Bitcoin’s historical resilience during inflationary phases, drawing parallels to patterns observed in the S&P 500 during similar periods.

He notes that the current rate-cutting cycle mirrors that of 2019, suggesting potential stability for Bitcoin and other assets.

Regulatory and Macro Impacts:

  • Bitcoin's year-to-date performance aligns closely with previous halving cycles, bolstering optimism for its trajectory.
  • Cowen speculates on the Federal Reserve's next moves, predicting a potential 25-basis-point rate cut in December.

Liquidity and Market Dynamics: The recent “largest liquidity flush since 2021” has not derailed Bitcoin’s bullish outlook. Cowen observes that current conditions reflect resilience, provided inflation does not escalate rapidly.

Cowen advises investors to remain patient and informed as Bitcoin approaches a pivotal phase leading into 2025. He maintains that the overall trajectory remains promising, though vigilance is crucial given market volatility.

Read Next:

  • Bitcoin’s Next Move: $105,000 Or $85,000? Poll Finds Over 60% Say?

Image: Shutterstock

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Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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