TREASURIES-US yields fall after payrolls data, seen as green light to Fed rate cut

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 12/06/24 09:11 AM EST

(Updates with analyst quotes)

NEW YORK, Dec 6 (Reuters) -

U.S. Treasuries yield fell after the release of November payrolls data, as investors considered the numbers did not give a reason for the Federal Reserve to pause the rate cuts at its December 17-18 meeting.

The two-year U.S. Treasury yield fell 4.6 basis points to 4.1% after the release of November payrolls data. The two-year yield typically moves in step with interest rate expectations.

U.S. 10-year treasury yields also fell 2.5 basis points after the data to 4.157%. A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury notes, seen as an indicator of economic expectations, was at a positive 5.7 basis points.

"It looks like there's no reason to worry about an imminent recession and there's no reason for the Fed to take a pause on cuts quite yet," said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management.

Nonfarm payrolls

increased by 227,000 jobs last month

after rising an upwardly revised 36,000 in October, the Labor Department said in its closely watched employment report on Friday. But it did not seem to signal a material shift in labor market conditions.

"Data this morning was a Thanksgiving buffet with payrolls spot on, revisions positive, but unemployment ticking higher despite the participation rate falling. This print doesn't kill the holiday spirit and the Fed remains on track to deliver a cut in December.", said Lindsay Rosner, head of multi sector investing at Goldman Sachs Asset Management. (Reporting by Tatiana Bautzer, Chuck Mikolajczak and Davide Barbuscia Editing by Mark Potter and Nick Zieminski)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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