South African rand firms as markets look to Fed rate cut

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 12/05/24 10:19 AM EST

JOHANNESBURG, Dec 5 (Reuters) - South Africa's rand strengthened on Thursday on expectations of an interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve later this month.

At 1513 GMT, the rand traded at 18.05 against the dollar , about 0.7% stronger than its previous close.

The dollar index was last down 0.4% against a basket of currencies.

"The rand is positioned for a strong year-end performance against the USD, supported by expectations of a U.S. rate cut," said Zain Vawda, market analyst at MarketPulse by OANDA.

The Fed's next rate-setting meeting is over Dec. 17-18, with the implied chance of a cut now around 75%.

On Friday, markets will look to U.S. non-farm payrolls for further clues about the health of the world's largest economy.

Like other risk-sensitive currencies, the rand often takes direction from global drivers like U.S. economic data.

On the domestic front, data showed on Thursday that South Africa's current account deficit was broadly unchanged from the second to the third quarter of this year, staying at 1.0% of gross domestic product.

On the stock market, the Top-40 index closed about 0.7% up.

South Africa's benchmark 2030 government bond was weaker, with the yield up 2.5 basis points to 8.95%. (Reporting by Bhargav Acharya and Tannur Anders; Editing by Susan Fenton)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

fir_news_article