PRECIOUS-Gold falls on dollar strength, inflation data sparks caution on Fed rate cuts

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/27/24 10:30 PM EST

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The longer-term bullish trend for gold remains intact - Analyst

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Mexico warns Trump tariffs would kill US jobs

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Markets see a 64.7% chance of December rate cut

(Add details, comments and update prices)

By Daksh Grover

Nov 28 (Reuters) - Gold prices slipped on Thursday as the U.S. dollar strengthened, while investors assessed a flurry of economic data showing stalled inflation progress, suggesting the Federal Reserve might tread cautiously on further interest rate cuts.

Spot gold fell 0.3% to $2,627.60 per ounce, as of 0302 GMT.

U.S. gold futures shed 0.5% to $2,627.00.

The dollar index was up 0.1%, reducing gold's appeal for holders of other currencies.

The market is focusing on the Fed's rate cuts, with the latest Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data suggesting slowing inflation, leading to expectations that the Fed's policy next year might be less dovish than previously expected, said Kelvin Wong, OANDA's senior market analyst for Asia Pacific.

Meanwhile, the Fed's struggle to bring inflation back to its 2% target, combined with the possibility of higher tariffs under the upcoming Trump administration may constrain the U.S. central bank's ability to implement rate cuts next year.

Markets now see a 64.7% chance of a quarter-point rate cut in December, as per the CME group's FedWatch tool.

Elsewhere, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum warned of retaliation if Trump enforces a 25% tariff, citing potential U.S. job losses and higher consumer prices.

Gold is regarded as a safe-haven investment during periods of economic or geopolitical instability, including trade wars.

Trading is expected to be thin with U.S. markets closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving holiday.

In the short term, particularly over the next few days to two weeks, gold could come under further pressure. However, the longer-term bullish trend for gold remains intact, Wong added.

SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.10% to 878.55 metric tons on Wednesday.

Spot silver fell nearly 1% to $29.78 per ounce, platinum 0.1% to $928.05 and palladium was steady at $972.75. (Reporting by Daksh Grover in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi Aich)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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