JGB yields mixed as BOJ rate hike concerns limit safe-haven bids

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/20/24 01:14 AM EST

By Brigid Riley

TOKYO, Nov 20 (Reuters) - Japanese government bond (JGB) yields struggled for direction on Wednesday, as concerns about another rate hike as soon as December limited safe-haven bids following Ukraine's strike against Russia overnight.

Ukraine used U.S. ATACMS missiles to strike Russian territory on Tuesday, taking advantage of newly granted permission from the outgoing administration of U.S. President Joe Biden on the war's 1,000th day.

The news sent U.S. Treasury yields lower on Tuesday, but yields have since edged higher during Asian trading hours.

Buying of JGBs was likewise limited, with investors weighing the possibility that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) could raise interest rates again as soon as December.

The 10-year JGB yield slid as low as 1.055% before reversing course. It was last flat at 1.065%, while 10-year JGB futures were down 0.01 point at 142.88 yen.

"There was a move to buy today due to demand for safe assets, but we're in a situation where the upside (of bond prices) is heavy," said Makoto Suzuki, senior bond strategist at Okasan Securities.

Investors were awaiting additional economic measures from Japan's new administration and plans on JGB issuance in the next fiscal year.

At the same time, the market is factoring in another rate hike in either December or January.

On Monday, BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said Japan's economy was progressing towards sustained wages-driven inflation and warned against keeping borrowing costs too low, leaving open the chance of a rate hike in the coming months.

Ueda is scheduled to speak again on Thursday.

The two-year JGB yield, which more closely corresponds with monetary policy expectations, ticked up 0.5 bp to 0.555%.

The five-year yield was also up 0.5 bp at 0.71%.

The 20-year JGB yield slid 0.5 bp to 1.885% ahead of an auction for the bonds on Thursday.

The 30-year JGB yield was flat at 2.285%.

(Reporting by Brigid Riley; Editing by Eileen Soreng)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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