Euro zone yields mixed, focus on US Treasuries, economic data

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/18/24 02:37 AM EST

Nov 18 (Reuters) - Euro zone borrowing costs were mixed on Monday, with U.S. Treasury yields settling around their recent highs while a weak economic outlook weighed on expectations for European Central Bank policy rates.

Markets awaited data on euro area negotiated wages on Wednesday and PMIs on Friday.

Analysts see U.S. yields roughly unchanged in the near term as markets have priced a so-called red sweep, with Donald Trump as the new U.S. president and the Republican Party controlling both the House of Representatives and the Senate.

Investors expect Trump's policies, which should include tariff and tax cuts, to boost inflation and interest rates.

Germany's 2-year yield, which is more sensitive to expectations for ECB policy rates, rose one basis point (bp) to 2.13%. It hit 2.091% on Friday, its lowest since Oct. 24.

Markets priced in an ECB deposit facility rate at 1.9% in July, while fully discounting a 25 bps rate cut in December and a 20% chance of a 50 bps move.

Germany's 10-year yield, the benchmark for the euro area, was down one bp at 2.34%.

Italy's 10-year government bond yields, the benchmark for the euro area periphery, dropped one bp at 3.54%. It hit 3.521% on Friday, its lowest since Oct. 30. (Reporting by Stefano Rebaudo, Editing by Bernadette Baum)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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