JGB yields track US peers to fresh peaks as market ponders BOJ rate hike

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/14/24 12:29 AM EST

By Brigid Riley

TOKYO, Nov 14 (Reuters) - Japanese government bond (JGB) yields climbed on Thursday, with short-end yields rising to their highest in more than a decade, as yields tracked their U.S. peers higher and investors pondered another interest rate hike in Japan as soon as December.

The 10-year JGB yield rose 1.5 basis points (bps) to 1.055%, its highest since Aug. 1, while the five-year yield ticked up 0.5 bp to a 15-year peak of 0.69%.

The two-year JGB yield, which corresponds more closely to monetary policy expectations, was 0.5 bp higher at 0.53%, a level last since in December 2008.

U.S. 10-year yields pushed to their highest since July, putting upward pressure on JGB yields, as Donald Trump winning the U.S. Presidential election drove expectations of deficits and a stickier inflationary outlook.

Meanwhile, the yen crossed above 156 per U.S. dollar on Thursday to its lowest since July 23, putting attention firmly on Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hike expectations.

Data on Wednesday showed Japan's wholesale inflation accelerated in October at the fastest annual pace in more than a year as renewed yen declines pushed up import costs for some goods.

"Yesterday, we saw that corporate prices are quite pronounced. ...This is strength that's noteworthy, so I think the BOJ will hike rates soon," said Hiroshi Namioka, chief strategist at T&D Asset Management.

While the market appears split between December and January, Namioka said he expects the BOJ to raise rates again at the end of the year, with the incoming administration under President-elect Donald Trump posing some uncertainties to the outlook.

The 20-year JGB yield rose 2 bps to a four-month high of 1.89%, while the 30-year JGB yield climbed 2.5 bps to 2.3%, its highest since March 2010 as worries about Japan's fiscal outlook persisted as well.

Benchmark 10-year JGB futures fell 0.13 points to 142.98 yen. (Reporting by Brigid Riley; Editing by Janane Venkatraman)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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