Euro area yields pare rise as US data increases chances of Fed cutting by 25 bps next month

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/13/24 09:09 AM EST

By Stefano Rebaudo

Nov 13 (Reuters) - Euro zone yields pared their rise on Wednesday after data showed U.S. inflation increased as expected in October, supporting expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut next month.

The U.S. consumer price index rose 0.2% for the fourth straight month, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Wednesday. In the 12 months through October, the CPI advanced 2.6% after climbing 2.4% in September.

Markets priced in an around 80% chance of a 25 basis points (bps) Fed cut in December, from 60% before data.

They also discounted an European Central Bank depo rate at 1.9% in July, from 1.96% before data.

Analysts recalled Minneapolis Fed's Neel Kashkari - seen as one of the more hawkish voices -- suggested on Tuesday a reasonably high bar for the Fed to pause in cutting rates, saying there'd have to be a surprise on the inflation front.

Germany's 2-year government bond yield, which is more sensitive to expectations for ECB rates, rose 2 basis points (bps) to 2.15%. It was up 6 bps before data.

Investors recently balanced rising U.S. rates on the so-called Trump trade against a weak European economic outlook, which supports expectations for future ECB rate cuts.

Germany's 10-year yield, the benchmark for the euro area, was up 1.5 bps at 2.36%. It was up 5 bps earlier. (Reporting by Stefano Rebaudo, editing by)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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