NEW YORK, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Speculators' net bearish
bets on U.S. two- and five-year Treasury note futures hit new
record highs in the week ending Nov. 5, according to Commodity
Futures Trading Commission data released on Friday.
Short positions on two-year Treasury futures rose to
1,486,359 contracts, according to the CFTC's
latest Commitments of Traders data, up from 1,479,361 contracts
a week earlier. Net short bets on five-year note futures grew to
1,767,409 contracts from 1,680,471 the prior week.
The bearish bets piled up ahead of Tuesday's U.S.
presidential election, in which Republican Donald Trump defeated
Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris.
In the weeks heading into the election, Trump's chances of
regaining the White House had increased in online betting
markets, spurring bearish bets in Treasuries as investors expect
his policies to accelerate economic growth, as well as inflation
and a widening of U.S. budget deficits.
Treasury yields, which move inversely to prices, surged this
week after Trump's victory, with benchmark 10-year yields
hitting an over four-month high of 4.479% on Wednesday. Two-year
yields rose to an intraday high of 4.312% on Wednesday, their
highest since the end of July.
Net bearish bets for longer-dated contracts, however, were
trimmed in the latest week, with net short bets on the benchmark
10-year note futures falling to 818,270 contracts
from 901,183, CFTC data showed on Friday.
Below is a table of the speculative positions in Treasury
futures on the Chicago Board of Trade in the latest week:
U.S. 2-year T-notes (Contracts of $200,000)
05 Nov 2024 week Prior week
Long 516,573 545,677
Short 2,002,932 2,025,038
Net -1,486,359 -1,479,361
U.S. 5-year T-notes (Contracts of $100,000)
05 Nov 2024 Prior week
week
Long 464,380 458,688
Short 2,231,789 2,139,159
Net -1,767,409 -1,680,471
U.S. 10-year T-notes (Contracts of $100,000)
05 Nov 2024 week Prior week
Long 451,405 429,078
Short 1,269,675 1,330,261
Net -818,270 -901,183
U.S. T-bonds (Contracts of $100,000)
05 Nov 2024 week Prior week
Long 427,232 417,193
Short 464,983 472,010
Net -37,751 -54,817
U.S. Long T-bonds (Contracts of $100,000)
05 Nov 2024 week Prior week
Long 161,812 160,892
Short 426,220 470,926
Net -264,408 -310,034
Fed funds (Contracts of $1,000,000)
05 Nov 2024 week Prior week
Long 175,995 469,542
Short 152,095 315,837
Net 23,900 153,705
(Reporting by Davide Barbuscia; editing by Jonathan Oatis)