CANADA FX DEBT-Canadian dollar rebounds as investors rethink tariff risk

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/07/24 03:17 PM EST

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Canadian dollar gains 0.6% against the greenback

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Trades in a range of 1.3851 to 1.3948

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Price of U.S. oil settles 0.9% higher

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Bond yields ease across the curve

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, Nov 7 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar strengthened against its U.S. counterpart on Thursday as the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and investors grew less anxious about the prospect of tariffs disrupting Canada's economy.

The loonie was trading 0.6% higher at 1.3860 to the U.S. dollar, or 72.15 U.S. cents, after trading in a range of 1.3851 to 1.3948.

On Wednesday, the currency posted its biggest decline since April, falling 0.8%, as investors globally reacted to the outcome of the U.S. presidential election.

Republican President-elect Donald Trump has proposed sweeping tariffs on imported goods. Canada sends about 75% of its exports to the United States, including oil.

"We're in the post-election mode where the market says that Trump didn't really mean it when it came to tariffs," said Adam Button, chief currency analyst at ForexLive.

"In any election there's campaign rhetoric and there's actual policy and the market is navigating in that space right now and pricing in a Donald Trump that's similar to the first version."

The Fed cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, adding to the half-percentage-point reduction the U.S. central bank delivered in September.

The Bank of Canada has also lowered borrowing costs. Canada's employment report for October, due on Friday, could guide expectations for further easing.

Economists project a jobs gain of 25,000, with the unemployment rate edging up to 6.6% from 6.5% in September.

The price of oil rose as U.S. drillers cut output while bracing for Hurricane Rafael. U.S. crude oil futures settled 0.9% higher at $72.36 a barrel.

Canadian government bond yields moved lower across the curve, tracking moves in U.S. Treasuries. The 10-year was down 7.5 basis points at 3.236%. (Reporting by Fergal Smith Editing by Marguerita Choy)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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