Factbox-Major brokerages expect 25 bps of Fed rate cuts in November

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/07/24 10:14 AM EST

(Reuters) - Major brokerages including J.P.Morgan, Barclays and Goldman Sachs have forecast a 25-basis-point interest-rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve at its November 6-7 meeting.

The central bank cut interest rates by an oversized 50 basis points at its Sept. 17-18 meeting.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the reduction was meant to show policymakers' commitment to sustaining a low unemployment rate now that inflation is easing.

Besides Citigroup, all major brokerages also continue to see a 25-bps cut at the Fed's December meeting.

Here are the forecasts from major brokerages:

Rate-cut estimates

(in bps)

Brokerages 2024

Nov Dec

BofA Global 25 25

Research

Deutsche Bank 25 25

Barclays 25 25

Macquarie 25 25

Goldman Sachs 25 25

J.P.Morgan 25 25

** UBS Global 50

Wealth

Management

Citigroup 25 50

** 50 bps could be for November and December combined, or just 50 bps each for either November or December

(Reporting by Gokul Pisharody in Bengaluru; Editing by Pooja Desai)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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