Traders firm bets on Fed?interest-rate cuts after weak jobs data

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/01/24 08:42 AM EDT

Nov 1 (Reuters) - An October jobs gain far short of expectations makes a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut next week a near certainty, traders bet on Friday, and firms up the chance of further reductions in December and well into next year.

Traders of futures that settle to the Fed's policy rate were pricing about a 99% chance of a quarter-point interest-rate cut on Nov. 7, to 4.5%-4.75%, compared with 92% before the meeting, after the Labor Department reported U.S. employers added just 12,000 jobs last month, compared with the more than 100,000 employers had expected. Traders also saw about an 89% chance that the policy rate will be in the 4.25%-4.50% range by year end, compared with 69% before the meeting (Reporting by Ann Saphir; editing by Philippa Fletcher)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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