CEE MARKETS-Czech crown holds off low, other C.Europe currencies linger in holiday trade

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/01/24 05:34 AM EDT
          PRAGUE, Nov 1 (Reuters) - The Czech crown held off a
nearly three-month low on Friday, little moved by data showing a
slowing manufacturing decline as focus turned toward a central
bank rate meeting next week, while central Europe's other
currencies hovered as local markets were closed for holidays.
    Hungary's forint was just off 22-month lows hit this week
and Poland's zloty was hanging around a 4-1/2 month low. Both
were a touch down on the day amid holiday trading.
    A Reuters poll on Friday forecast central European
currencies rising to stronger levels in the coming months after
recent weakness caused by global market moves before U.S.
elections. But the relief will be limited, forecasts showed.
    "There still seems to be no room for stabilisation here in
the near term and we expect CEE to remain under pressure at
least until the U.S. election," ING said in a note on Friday.
    The dollar has firmed on bets that Republican candidate
Donald Trump could win next week's U.S. election. That dollar
strength has weighed on appetite for riskier emerging market
assets.
    On Friday, the crown dipped less than 0.1% on the
day to 25.335 to the euro. The Reuters poll saw the crown
firming to 25.10 over the next three months and leading gains
over the next year.
    The crown got some support on Friday after data from S&P
Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) indicated manufacturing
activity last month declined at its slowest pace since June
2022. But some analysts said it was still too early to cheer
amid declining factory orders and as manufacturing remains the
main drag on an overall economic recovery.
    Markets were also watching a Czech central bank policy
meeting next week amid chances policymakers will continue to cut
interest rates.
    Czech rate-setter Jan Prochazka told Reuters last week that
the bank could continue easing monetary policy amid weaker
growth abroad and a slow domestic demand recovery, but must be
mindful of inflation hotspots.


          CEE      SNAPSHOT     AT
          MARKETS              1011
                               CET
                   CURRENCIES
                   Latest      Previo  Daily       Change
                               us
                   trade       close   change      in 2024
 Czech    0
 Hungary  00
 Polish   Romania  Serbian  00
 Note:    calcula                      1800 CET
 daily    ted
 change   from

                   Latest      Previo  Daily       Change
                               us
                               close   change      in 2024
 Prague               1652.74  1639.2      +0.82%   +16.88
                                  600                    %
 Budapes             73865.96  73865.      +0.00%   +21.85
 t                                 96                    %
 Warsaw   7
 Buchare             17487.68  17439.      +0.28%   +13.77
 st                                09                    %

                                       Spread      Daily
                                       vs Bund     change
                                                   in
 Czech                                             spread
 Republi
 c
          0
          0
          Poland
          0

          FORWARD RATE
          AGREEMENTS
                   3x6         6x9     9x12        3M
                                                   interba
                                                   nk
 Czech    Hungary  Poland   Note:    are for
 FRA      ask
 quotes   prices
 ****************************
 ****************************
 ******




 (Reporting by Jason Hovet in Prague, Editing by Angus MacSwan)



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