PRECIOUS-Gold edges lower as investors await US economic data

BY Reuters | TREASURY | 10/28/24 05:06 AM EDT

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Gold projected to hit $2,900/oz within 12 months, says analyst

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China's Jan-Sept gold consumption slides 11%

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US 10-year Treasury yields hit three-month high

(Recasts and updates prices as of 0828 GMT)

By Anushree Mukherjee

Oct 28 (Reuters) - Gold prices weakened slightly on Monday, weighed down by a firmer dollar and Treasury yields while traders await a slew of U.S. economic data for guidance on the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate stance.

Spot gold fell 0.4% to $2,737.63 an ounce by 0828 GMT. Bullion hit a record high of $2,758.37 last Wednesday, lifted by safe-haven demand in the face of market risks from continuing conflict in the Middle East and Ukraine.

U.S. gold futures declined 0.2% to $2,750.00.

The dollar index was on track for its best month since April 2022, with the currency's strength making gold less attractive for buyers holding other currencies. Yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries, meanwhile, rose to a three-month high.

"Prospects of lower U.S. interest rates have room to support further investment demand and lift gold prices. We look for gold to hit $2,900/oz in 12 months," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Major data due this week includes ADP employment on Wednesday, U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) numbers on Thursday and Friday's payrolls report.

Traders see a nearly 95% chance of a cut of 25 basis points by the Fed in November, which would provide further support for non-yielding gold.

On the physical front, Chinese gold consumption dropped 11.2% year on year in first three quarters of 2024 as high prices dented demand for jewellery, the state-backed gold association said.

"While physical demand in Asia, particularly in China, has been weak lately, I guess the focus when it comes to gold demand is shifting from East to West," Staunovo added.

Spot silver was down 0.4% at $33.56 an ounce and platinum lost 0.1% to $1,021.37.

Palladium was steady at $1,193.57 after hitting a 10-month high in the previous session after the news that United States asked Group of Seven allies to consider additional ways to restrict Russian revenue from the metals sector by exploring restrictions on palladium and titanium. (Reporting by Anushree Mukherjee in Bengaluru Editing by David Goodman)

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Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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