PRECIOUS-Gold pauses for breath as US yields, dollar move higher

BY Reuters | TREASURY | 10/21/24 10:14 AM EDT

(Updates as of 1535 GMT)

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Silver scales highest level since late-2012

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Gold has risen over 31% so far this year

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Gold could slow down while silver picks up, analyst says

By Anjana Anil

Oct 21 (Reuters) - Gold took a breather after surging to a record high on Monday, as higher U.S. Treasury yields and dollar offset support from growing uncertainties surrounding the U.S. presidential election and the Middle East war.

Spot gold was little changed at $2,723.35 per ounce, as of 11:35 a.m. ET (1535 GMT), after hitting a record $2,740.37 earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures were 0.3% higher at $2,737.80.

"The 10 year yields are moving a lot higher, the dollar index got stronger. And that's putting some weight on gold," said Daniel Pavilonis, senior market strategist at RJO Futures.

Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields rose to a 12-week high, while the dollar index gained, making gold more expensive for overseas buyers.

Bullion, considered a hedge against political and economic uncertainty, has climbed over 31% so far this year, shattering multiple record peaks as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut combined with safe-haven demand set up a perfect storm for gold.

"We're getting closer to the U.S. elections, a couple of weeks out now... we're seeing geopolitics play out in the Middle East, Israel, Iran, whatever kind of stuff is going on behind the scenes," Pavilonis said.

With the U.S. presidential election just over two weeks away, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are caught in a knife-edge battle to win over some of the more competitive states.

Meanwhile, hundreds of Beirut residents fled their homes as Israel prepared to attack sites linked to the financial operations of Hezbollah, aggravating fears of conflict escalation.

"We look for gold to reach to $2,900/oz over the next 12 months, supported by further rate cuts by the Fed," UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

Traders now see an 87% chance of a quarter basis point cut by the Fed in November.

Spot silver was steady at $33.66 per ounce, after hitting its highest since late-2012 earlier in the session.

"We could see maybe gold slow down its speed and silver start to pick up and catch up with gold," Pavilonis added.

Platinum rose 0.7% to $1,006.48 per ounce. Palladium fell 2.7% to $1,050.91.

(Reporting by Anjana Anil and Anushree Mukherjee in Bengaluru; Editing by Shailesh Kuber)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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