US STOCKS-Wall St mixed as inflation data backs bets of 25 bps rate cut in November

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 10/10/24 01:15 PM EDT

(For a Reuters live blog on U.S., UK and European stock markets, click or type LIVE/ in a news window.)

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September CPI data higher than expected

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Delta Air Lines (DAL) down after Q3 results

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Energy stocks track oil prices higher

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Banks to kick off Q3 earnings season on Friday

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Indexes: Dow down 0.08%, S&P 500 flat, Nasdaq up 0.18%

(Updated at 12:07 pm ET/1607 GMT)

By Lisa Pauline Mattackal and Pranav Kashyap

Oct 10 (Reuters) -

Wall Street's main indexes struggled for direction on Thursday, but pared some early losses after a hotter-than-expected inflation reading kept expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November alive.

The closely watched

Consumer Price Index

rose 0.2% on a monthly basis in September and 2.4% on an annual basis, with both figures being slightly higher than estimated by economists polled by Reuters.

The core figure, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 3.3% year-over-year, versus an estimate of 3.2%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 33.06 points, or 0.08%, to 42,478.58, the S&P 500 gained 1.29 points, or 0.02%, to 5,793.30 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 33.23 points, or 0.18%, to 18,324.84.

The Russell 2000, which tracks economically sensitive small-cap stocks, dipped 0.8%%.

Rate-sensitive sectors fell, with Real Estate losing 0.7%, while Energy stocks outperformed other sectors and was up 1%, as oil prices jumped.

A 0.2% gain in Technology stocks, notably a 1.7% rise in chip bellwether Nvidia (NVDA), helped the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite outperform the other two indexes.

After the inflation data was released, traders firmed bets on a 25-bps cut in November at 89%, according to CME's FedWatch.

"What you're seeing here is a bounce in prices that could push another rate cut back - but we got the other side of the coin, which was a little warmer unemployment number as well," said Brian Mulberry, portfolio manager at Zacks Investment Management.

Jobless claims

also rose to 258,000 for the week ending Oct. 5, versus an estimate of 230,000.

Meanwhile, Delta Air Lines (DAL) lost 0.6%, paring some earlier losses after forecasting quarterly revenue below expectations in anticipation of slower travel spending.

Other airlines also lost ground, with American Airlines (AAL) losing 1%.

Equity market performance has been largely led by expectations for easing monetary policy, with traders now scrutinizing how much further the U.S. central bank will lower borrowing costs this year.

Among other single movers, shares of Pfizer (PFE) fell 2.3% as former executives distanced themselves from activist investor Starboard's campaign against the drugmaker.

Both the S&P 500 and the Dow notched up record closing highs on Wednesday.

"There's going to be a lot of volatility between now and the end of the year... any wobble in the labor (market) or bounceback in inflation will be a real concern," Mulberry said.

The start of the third-quarter earnings season is also in focus, with major banks scheduled to report results on Friday.

The third-quarter earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 is estimated at 5% year-over-year, according to estimates compiled by LSEG.

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said he sees "gradual" rate cuts over the next year-and-a-half, while the New York Fed's John Williams said he still sees rate reductions ahead.

Investors also monitored the impact from Hurricane Milton, which made landfall on Florida's west coast late on Wednesday.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 1.43-to-1 ratio on the NYSE, and by a 1.68-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

The S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and two new lows, while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 45 new highs and 122 new lows. (Reporting by Lisa Mattackal and Pranav Kashyap in Bengaluru; Editing by Pooja Desai)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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