FOREX-Dollar edges down against yen after data shows uptick in US inflation, jobless claims

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 10/10/24 11:13 AM EDT
    (Updates headline and prices throughout, adds analyst comment,
and background on other currencies)
    By Chibuike Oguh
       NEW YORK, Oct 10 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar edged lower
against the yen on Thursday after data showed signs of labor
market weakness and a higher-than-expected rise in U.S.
inflation in September even though prices were on a downward
trend, allowing the Federal Reserve to keep cutting interest
rates.
    Labor Department data on Thursday showed that the consumer
price index increased 0.2% in September. In the 12 months
through September the CPI climbed 2.4%, which was the smallest
year-on-year rise since February 2021.
        Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI edging
up 0.1% and rising 2.3% year-on-year.

        Other data from the Labor Department also showed that
the number of Americans
    seeking unemployment benefits
     surged last week, driven partly by Hurricane Helene and
furloughs at Boeing (BA).

        Initial claims for state unemployment benefits increased
to 258,000 last week, compared with a Reuters analyst estimate
of 230,000 claims.

    The greenback was down 0.39% at 148.71 yen after rising to
as high as 149.58 yen for the first time since Aug. 2.
The euro dropped to its lowest since Aug. 9 against
the dollar and was down 0.17% on the day at $1.092.
    The dollar index, which measures the currency against
six key rivals including the yen and euro, was up slightly by
0.1% to 102.97 in choppy trading after hitting its highest since
August 15.
    "The claims number dominated the story and that's driven
bond yields lower because it's reminded the market that the Fed
actually has some concerns about the employment story," said
John Velis, FX and macro strategist at BNY in Boston.
        Traders are betting a nearly 90% chance on the Fed
cutting rates by 25 basis points at its next policy decision on
Nov. 7, and a 9% probability of no change, the CME Group's
FedWatch Tool showed. The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes
 rose 3.3 basis points to 4.1%.
    "We had such a good September job print that this kind of
swings back in the other direction and has taken out some of
that restrictive Fed pricing, or let me say it's put in some
more expectations of a rate cut for the November 7th meeting,"
Velis added.
        The U.S. economy gained 254,000 jobs in September and
the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, Labor Department data
    had showed
     on Friday.

        The risk-sensitive Australian dollar was up
0.05% to $0.6722. It earlier rose more than 0.3% on the back of
an equity rally in top trading partner China as the East Asian
nation's central bank launched a swap programme aimed at
supporting the stock market.
    China's finance ministry is due to hold a highly anticipated
news conference on fiscal policy on Saturday. The dollar
 was flat to 7.093 versus the offshore Chinese yuan.
    In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin gained 0.28% to
$60,541.29. Ethereum rose 1% to $2,377.29.


 Currency bid prices at 10 October? 02:51 p.m. GMT
 Description                                        RIC        Last     U.S. Close Previous Session  Pct Change      YTD Pct  High Bid  Low Bid
 Dollar index                                                  102.98   102.88                       0.11%           1.59%    103.06    102.71
 Euro/Dollar                                                   1.0921   1.094                        -0.16%          -1.05%   $1.0955   $1.0909
 Dollar/Yen                                                    148.76   149.28                       -0.26%          5.56%    149.49    148.4
 Euro/Yen                                                      1.0921?  163.31                       -0.51%          4.4%     163.6     162.24
 Dollar/Swiss                                                  0.858    0.8609                       -0.29%          2%       0.8615    0.8559
 Sterling/Dollar                                               1.3049   1.3075                       -0.19%          2.55%    $1.3094   $1.3011?
 Dollar/Canadian                                               1.3761   1.3711                       0.38%           3.82%    1.3768    1.3702
 Aussie/Dollar                                                 0.6721   0.6719                       0.07%           -1.39%   $0.6743   $0.6702
 Euro/Swiss                                                    0.9371   0.9416                       -0.49%          0.9%     0.9419    0.9366
 Euro/Sterling                                                 0.8367   0.8367                       NOT AVAILABLE%  -3.47%   0.8385    0.8355
 NZ Dollar/Dollar                                              0.6075   0.6063                       0.21%           -3.85%   $0.6097   0.605
 Dollar/Norway                                                 10.757?  10.7767                      -0.18%          6.14%    10.7954   10.7348
 Euro/Norway                                                   11.7492  11.79                        -0.35%          4.68%    11.8034   11.7375
 Dollar/Sweden                                                 10.4043  10.3946                      0.09%           3.35%    10.4137   10.3697
 Euro/Sweden                                                   11.3637  11.3738                      -0.09%          2.14%    11.3825   11.3524





 (Reporting by Chibuike Oguh in New York; additional reporting
by Harry  Robertson and Kevin Buckland; Editing by Chizu
Nomiyama)

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Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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