US STOCKS-Futures extend losses after September inflation data

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 10/10/24 09:19 AM EDT

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September CPI data higher than expected

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Delta Air Lines (DAL) down after Q3 results

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Futures down: Dow 0.26%, S&P 500 0.37%, Nasdaq 0.52%

By Lisa Pauline Mattackal and Pranav Kashyap

Oct 10 (Reuters) - Wall Street futures extended losses on Thursday after data showed U.S. inflation was higher than expected in September, keeping the Federal Reserve on track to ease interest rates by 25 basis points at its next meeting.

The closely watched Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% on a monthly basis and 2.4% on an annual basis, with both figures being slightly higher than estimates by economists Reuters polled.

The core figure, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 3.3% year-over-year, versus an estimated 3.2%.

Dow E-minis were down 112 points, or 0.26%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 21.5 points, or 0.37% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 106.25 points, or 0.52%.

After the inflation data was released, traders firmed bets on a 25-bps cut in November at 85%, with a 15% chance of no change at all, according to CME's FedWatch.

"The market's reacting because you're pricing out the possibility of big Fed rate cuts and the risk that the Fed isn't going to be as supportive to markets," said Cameron Dawson, chief investment officer at NewEdge Wealth.

However, weekly jobless claims also rose to 258,000 for the week ending Oct. 5, versus an estimate of 230,000.

"The CPI data coming in hotter than expected, and at the same time initial jobless claims really picked up, is certainly a confusing message for markets," Dawson said.

"Whether or not that means the Fed is going to be able to deliver the full extent of its expected interest-rate cuts is a good question."

Meanwhile, Delta Air Lines (DAL) lost 1.2% after forecasting quarterly revenue below expectations in anticipation of slower travel spending.

Other airlines also lost ground, with United Airlines down 1.1%, American Airlines (AAL) losing 1% and Southwest Airlines (LUV) slipping 0.8%.

Equity market performance has been largely led by expectations for easing monetary policy, with traders now scrutinizing how much further the central bank will lower borrowing costs this year.

Among other single movers, shares of Pfizer (PFE) fell 1.3% as former executives distanced themselves from activist investor Starboard's campaign against the drugmaker.

Both the S&P 500 and the Dow notched up record closing highs on Wednesday, after minutes from the Federal Reserve's last meeting showed a "substantial majority" of policymakers had favored September's outsized 50-basis-point rate cut.

The start of the third-quarter earnings season is also in focus, with major banks scheduled to report results on Friday. Their results will be key in ascertaining if the recent equity rally is sustainable.

The third-quarter earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 is estimated at 5% year-over-year, according to estimates compiled by LSEG.

Apart from earnings, investors are grappling with rising Treasury yields - the benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield is trading around its highest since late July - along with the impact of the Middle East conflict on oil prices and the upcoming U.S. presidential election.

Investors were also monitoring the impact from Hurricane Milton, which made landfall on Florida's west coast late on Wednesday. (Reporting by Lisa Mattackal and Pranav Kashyap in Bengaluru; Editing by Pooja Desai)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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