KBRA Releases Research ? KBRA-Rated CMBS, Freddie Mac, CRE CLO, and SFR Exposure to Hurricane Milton

BY Business Wire | AGENCY | 10/09/24 07:42 PM EDT

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- KBRA releases research on exposure in its rated universe of commercial real estate (CRE) securities and single-family rentals (SFR) to Hurricane Milton. The hurricane is forecast to make landfall tonight, just less than two weeks after Hurricane Helene hit Florida?s Gulf Coast as a Category 4 storm. Milton is heading toward Tampa and has the potential to be one of west-central Florida?s most destructive hurricanes on record. When it makes landfall, forecasters expect it will likely be a Category 3 hurricane. Six million people across 11 Florida counties are under mandatory evacuation orders as of October 8.

KBRA identified loans within our rated universe of CRE securities?including conduit, Freddie Mac, single borrower (SB), and CRE collateralized loan obligation (CLO) transactions?along with SFRs that have exposure to the 11 at-risk Gulf Coast counties. In total, these transaction types accounted for $261 billion. These counties all have mandatory evacuation orders and are expected to be the ones most immediately impacted by the hurricane?s landfall and storm surge. Our analysis indicates that 305 out of 658 KBRA-rated deals have underlying loan collateral within the 11 Florida counties. Their total loan balance exposure is $8.4 billion across a total outstanding transaction balance of $261 billion for the five transaction types listed, resulting in a 3.2% exposure rate. KBRA will continue to monitor the situation and review servicer information as it becomes available to better understand the extent of the damage and determine any potential impacts on ratings.

Click here to view the report.

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About KBRA

KBRA is a full-service credit rating agency registered in the U.S., the EU, and the UK, and is designated to provide structured finance ratings in Canada. KBRA?s ratings can be used by investors for regulatory capital purposes in multiple jurisdictions.

Doc ID: 1006322

Source: Kroll Bond Rating Agency, LLC

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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