EMERGING MARKETS-Currencies, stocks fall on Mideast caution; Hong Kong shares ease

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 10/03/24 05:33 AM EDT

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Israel strikes heart of Beirut, killing at least six

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Ethiopia bondholders reject $1 bln bond rework outline

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South Africa business activity accelerates in Sept - PMI

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Turkish inflation falls below 50% in Sept but above forecasts

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Russian rouble at lowest in a year against yuan

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FX down 0.3% at one-week low, stocks off 1%

By Ankika Biswas

Oct 3 (Reuters) - Most emerging market assets dropped on Thursday as investors vigilant of Middle East tensions favoured safe-haven assets while awaiting further clues on the health of the U.S. economy, with Hong Kong shares easing after a blistering rally.

The safe-haven U.S. dollar hit a multi-week high, driven by the worsening geopolitical situation and robust U.S. jobs market data, with the MSCI EM currencies index dropping 0.3% to a one-week low.

On the geopolitical front, Israel bombed Beirut and killed at least six people after its forces suffered their deadliest day on the Lebanese front in a year of clashes with Iran-backed Hezbollah.

Investors also keenly awaited a slew of U.S. economic data scheduled for the rest of the week, including closely watched non-farm payrolls data on Friday, to determine the Federal Reserve's likely course of upcoming rate cuts.

The MSCI stocks gauge dropped 1% and was set to give up Wednesday's strong gains as Hong Kong shares succumbed to profit booking after China's stimulus-fuelled rally.

The Hang Seng index dropped 1.5% after jumping 23% in a six-day winning streak. Chinese markets were closed for public holidays.

Among economic data, an S&P Global survey showed South Africa's private sector saw an uptick in growth in September.

The rand recouped earlier losses to strengthen 0.3% against the dollar, while the main stock index dropped more than 1% amid geopolitical concerns.

Turkish annual consumer price inflation dropped to 49.38% in September, falling below the central bank's policy rate for the first time since 2021 but exceeding expectations.

"The smaller-than-expected decline in the headline rate will be a disappointment to policymakers," said Nicholas Farr, emerging Europe economist at Capital Economics.

The data "supports our view that a monetary easing cycle is unlikely to start until 2025 - later than most other analysts have been forecasting," he said.

Turkey's central bank has held its benchmark rate steady at 50% for a sixth straight month, after having hiked by 4,150 basis points since June last year.

A Reuters poll showed the Czech crown is the only central European currency set for steady gains against the euro in 2025, with Hungary's forint and Poland's zloty likely to be stuck near current levels.

The crown hit a two-year low in August but has since rebounded. The forint is at 1-1/2-year lows at the psychological 400 per euro level.

The Russian rouble fell to its lowest level against China's yuan since Oct. 11, 2023 ahead of a Russian finance ministry announcement on next month's sales of foreign currency.

Meanwhile, a group of Ethiopia's international bondholders, known as the ad hoc committee, said it did not support the illustrative terms of a restructuring for the country's $1 billion bond presented in an investors' call earlier this week.

(Reporting by Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Jan Harvey)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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