European bond yields steady near multi-month lows

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 10/03/24 02:51 AM EDT

LONDON, Oct 3 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields were steady on Thursday, as markets weighed expectations for European Central Bank interest rate cuts and the escalating conflict in the Middle East.

Germany's 10-year yield, the benchmark for the euro zone, was last little changed at 2.1%. It fell to its lowest level since Jan. 4 on Tuesday at 2.011%, before rebounding on Wednesday. Bond yields move inversely to prices.

Weak growth indicators in the euro area and inflation falling below the ECB's 2% target have pushed yields lower recently, and prompted major Wall Street banks to bring forward easing expectations for the ECB, with most now expecting the central bank to lower borrowing costs in October.

Market pricing reflects around a 95% chance of a 25 basis point (bp) rate cut this month, following quarter-point reductions at the June and September policy meetings.

Worries about the escalating conflict in the Middle East have also helped drive German yields lower, as investors put more emphasis on the relative safety of German bunds.

Germany's two-year yield was down 1 bp at 2.039%.

Italy's 10-year yield was little changed at 3.44%, after hitting its lowest since August 2022 on Tuesday at 3.338%. The spread between Italian and German 10-year yields was steady at 133 bps. (Reporting by Samuel Indyk; Editing by Mark Potter)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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