WARSAW, Oct 2 (Reuters) - The Hungarian forint fell to
its weakest against the euro in 6-1/2 months on Wednesday, while
the Czech crown hit a new eight-week low and the zloty eased
before a Polish rate decision.
Falling interest rates in Hungary and the Czech Republic
have put pressure on those countries' currencies, while the
zloty has been supported as the Polish central bank paused rate
cuts for the past year.
The zloty is still within sight of multi-year highs hit
earlier this year.
Economists polled by Reuters expect the National Bank of
Poland to extend that pause and maintain its base interest rate
at 5.75% on Wednesday, as inflation rebounds above target.
By 0935 GMT the zloty was down 0.1% against the
euro at 4.296, nearing the psychological 4.30 level it has
remained below since mid-September.
A Warsaw-based trader said the zloty would likely breach the
that level on Wednesday as escalation of the conflict in the
Middle East this week weighed on currencies.
"A stronger dollar, higher oil prices - this also has an
impact on the currencies of emerging markets, including the
zloty," the trader said.
"All this is happening against the backdrop of the (Polish)
monetary policy council, (U.S.) payrolls on Friday, but I think
this global factor is dominant at the moment," the trader said,
referring to the escalation in the Middle East conflict.
The dollar held onto its biggest gains in a week on
Wednesday after an Iranian missile attack on Israel.
In Hungary, the forint lost 0.3% to 399.25 per
euro and touched its lowest level since mid-March.
"The FX market has fully switched into risk-off mode," ING
said in a note.
ING said a growing divergence between central and eastern
European currencies and the region's interest rates market will
have to be closed at some point, allowing for the currencies'
weakness to fade.
"The Polish zloty seems most appealing with the central bank
meeting this week, while the Czech koruna may be attractive
later," ING said. "The Hungarian forint, on the other hand, will
have the hardest path to finding stable ground within the CEE
peers."
The Czech crown was 0.2% lower to the euro at
25.33 to the euro, sitting around lows from early August.
CEE SNAPSHOT AT
MARKETS 1135
CET
CURRENCIES
Latest Previo Daily Change
us
trade close change in 2024
Czech 0
Hungary 00
Polish Romania Serbian 00
Note: calculated from 1800 CET
daily
change
Latest Previo Daily Change
us
close change in 2024
Prague 1597.65 1604.5 -0.43% +12.99
300 %
Budapes 74324.54 74189. +0.18% +22.61
t 72 %
Warsaw 6
Buchare 17495.20 17568. -0.42% +13.82
st 14 %
Spread Daily
vs Bund change
in
Czech spread
Republi
c
Poland
0
FORWARD RATE
AGREEMENTS
3x6 6x9 9x12 3M
interba
nk
Czech Hungary Poland Note: are for ask prices
FRA
quotes
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(Reporting by Karol Badohal in Warsaw, Jason Hovet in Prague
and Anita Komuves in Budapest. Editing by Jane Merriman)