Euro zone bond yields rise after German inflation data

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 09/30/24 04:35 AM EDT

By Stefano Rebaudo

Sept 30 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields edged higher on Monday after German inflation data led investors to slightly scale back their bets on future European Central Bank monetary easing moves.

Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the euro zone bloc, rose 2 basis points (bps) to 2.16%; it was down 0.5 bps before the German figures.

Inflation eased across a raft of key German states in September, preliminary data showed on Monday, suggesting that the national inflation rate would also decrease further.

Markets priced in a 50 bps of rate cuts by the European Central Bank by year-end from around 53 bps before data.

Data showed on Friday that French and Spanish consumer prices rose less than anticipated in September, leading investors to increase their bets on future ECB rate cuts. Figures from the euro area are due on Tuesday.

Germany's two-year bond yield, which is sensitive to ECB rate expectations, was up 2 bps at 2.3%. Earlier in the session it hit 2.046%, its lowest level since December, 2022.

The gap between Austrian and German 10-year yields - a gauge of the risk premium investors demand to hold Austria's government bonds - was roughly unchanged at 49.5 bps, after the far-right won the parliamentary elections.

The Eurosceptic, Russia-friendly Freedom Party (FPO) gained 28.8% of the vote, but Leaders of Austrian political parties united to reject the idea of forming a coalition with FPO.

Italy's 10-year yield rose 3.5 bps to 3.49%, and the gap between Italian and German yields widened to 132 bps. (Reporting by Stefano Rebaudo, editing by Ed Osmond)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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