South African rand holds firm after first rate cut in four years

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 09/19/24 12:30 PM EDT

By Tannur Anders and Bhargav Acharya

JOHANNESBURG, Sept 19 (Reuters) - The South African rand held onto early gains on Thursday following the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) decision to cut interest rates for the first time in over four years, after a super-sized interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

At 1600 GMT, the rand traded at 17.4775 against the dollar , about 0.4% stronger than its previous close.

The U.S. currency was down 0.3% against a basket of peers.

The SARB joined the easing club with a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut, as predicted by economists polled by Reuters, but struck a measured tone, saying although inflation had fallen faster than expected there were still risks to the outlook.

Data showed on Wednesday that South Africa's annual inflation rate fell to 4.4% last month, lowest since April 2021 and just below the mid-point of the central bank's 3% to 6% target range.

"The rand traded stronger for the seventh consecutive day, trading as low as 17.39 at one point, but ran out of steam in the latter part of the day," said Wichard Cilliers, head of market risk at TreasuryONE, following the rate decision.

The rand's 17.39 per dollar level on Thursday was its strongest since February 2023.

The Fed cut interest rates by 50 bps on Wednesday, weakening the dollar and boosting the risk-sensitive rand.

On the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, the Top-40 index closed about 1.3% higher.

South Africa's benchmark 2030 government bond was up marginally, with the yield down 1 basis point at 8.84%. (Editing by Alexander Winning, Barbara Lewis and Jane Merriman)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

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