PRECIOUS-Gold jumps to record high on Fed rate cut outlook

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 09/16/24 05:35 AM EDT

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Silver up 1%

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US dollar down 0.4%

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Gold to hit $2,900 by end of 2025, ANZ analysts say

(Recasts, updates prices as of 0914 GMT)

By Ashitha Shivaprasad

Sept 16 (Reuters) - Gold prices charged to a record high on Monday as a weaker dollar and the prospects of aggressive U.S. monetary policy easing boosted non-yielding bullion's appeal.

Spot gold was up 0.4% at $2,586.04 an ounce by 0914 GMT after touching a record peak of $2,589.59. U.S. gold futures edged up by 0.1% to $2,613.40.

The dollar index eased 0.4%, making gold more attractive to other currency holders.

This week's key event is the Federal Reserve interest rate decision due on Wednesday. Trader expectations are for a 59% chance of a cut of 50 basis points.

The first U.S. rate cut is getting closer and will be followed by more, supporting gold, said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

"Any change to the Fed dot plot is likely to result in near-term volatility, but I believe we are still on the path of higher prices over the coming months," he said.

Bullion becomes generally a more attractive investment in periods of lower interest rates and is considered a safe asset in times of turmoil.

Macroeconomic and geopolitical concerns, U.S. elections and a likely increase in equity market volatility also make a compelling case for increasing investment in gold, ANZ analysts said in a note.

"We expect gold prices to move towards $2,700 in the short term and reach a high of $2,900 by the end of 2025," the note added.

The FBI said that Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump was the subject of a second assassination attempt on Sunday.

Spot silver gained 1% to $30.95 an ounce, hitting its highest in two months earlier in the session.

Platinum shed 0.2% to $993.70 and palladium was up 0.2% at $1,070.70.

Data from China over the weekend showed industrial output growth slowed to a five-month low in August while retail sales and new home prices weakened further. (Reporting by Ashitha Shivaprasad in Bengaluru Editing by David Goodman)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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