JGB yields edge down; 10-year yield touches one-month low

BY Reuters | TREASURY | 09/13/24 01:21 AM EDT

By Brigid Riley

TOKYO, Sept 13 (Reuters) - Japanese government bond (JGB) yields declined on Friday, with the benchmark 10-year yield brushing a one-month low as U.S. Treasury yields dropped and investors adjusted positions ahead of a holiday weekend in Japan.

The 10-year JGB yield was down 2 basis points (bps) at 0.84% as of 0500 GMT, after earlier touching its lowest since Aug. 15 at 0.83%.

Futures of 10-year JGBs rose 0.21 points to 144.75 yen.

Both the Wall Street Journal and the Financial Times reported that the Federal Reserve might still be on the fence about cutting interest rates by 25 bps or 50 bps, causing U.S. Treasury yields to fall during Asian trading hours.

JGBs also saw some buying as the direction of their U.S. peers shifted.

Makoto Suzuki, senior bond strategist at Okasan Securities, said moves in the JGB market were driven more by seasonal factors at play, including a redemption of government bonds scheduled for later this month.

September tends to be "a period when buying is strong" as a result, he said.

Japan's markets will be closed on Monday for a public holiday, leading to some position adjustments ahead of the long weekend.

Markets are pricing in a little over 100 basis points of cuts from the Fed within the year, meaning a super-sized cut is expected sometime this year.

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) will also meet to decide monetary policy next week, where it is set to leave rates unchanged. More than half of economists polled by Reuters last month forecast the BOJ will hike again by the end of the year.

The 20-year JGB yield and 30-year JGB yield both fell 3 bps to 1.64% and 2.015%, respectively.

The two-year JGB yield briefly ticked down 0.5 bp to 0.38% before rising to sit flat.

The five-year yield was down 1 bp to 0.495%.

(Reporting by Brigid Riley; Editing by Mrigank Dhaniwala)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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