JGB yields slide in step with US peers; jobs report in focus

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 09/04/24 12:52 AM EDT

By Brigid Riley

TOKYO, Sept 4 (Reuters) -

Japanese government bond yields declined on Wednesday as U.S. Treasury yields fell, while investors weighed the outlook for the world's largest economy ahead of Friday's non-farm payrolls.

The benchmark 10-year JGB yield was down 3.5 basis points at 0.885% as of 0430 GMT, reversing its rise over the previous two days, while 10-year JGB futures rose 0.38 yen to 144.79 yen.

U.S. Treasury yields fell on Tuesday after data signalled activity in the manufacturing sector remains soft. The 10-year Treasury yield was at 3.83% in Asia trading hours on Wednesday.

The Institute for Supply Management said its manufacturing PMI rose to 47.2 in August, up from an eight-month low of 46.8 in July. But the reading remained below 50 for the fifth straight month, indicating a contraction.

Global markets remain sensitive to U.S. growth indicators, after a weak jobs report last month sparked market stress over imminent recession risks.

A U.S. recession would have global impact, leaving investors waiting for more clarity on its outlook.

"Given the current uncertainty about the future, it's unclear whether Japan's additional interest rate hikes will proceed smoothly," said Makoto Suzuki, senior bond strategist at Okasan Securities.

Confidence that the U.S. economy is heading for a soft landing could generate more speculation in the bond market about the Bank of Japan's next rate hike, which most economists and market players believe will come in either December or January, he said.

For now though, it's hard to trade in either direction, Suzuki said.

The biggest test this week will come on Friday when U.S. non-farm payrolls for August will be released.

Elsewhere on the curve, the 20-year JGB yield and 30-year JGB yield both slid 3.5 bps to 1.69% and 2.06%, respectively.

On the short end, the two-year JGB yield ticked down 1 bps to 0.375%, while the five-year yield fell 2.5 bps to 0.505%. (Reporting by Brigid Riley; Editing by Varun H K)

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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