Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Home Prices Up 3.3% Year Over Year in July, According to First American Data & Analytics Monthly Home Price Index Report
BY Business Wire | ECONOMIC | 08/20/24 09:00 AM EDTSlowdown in National House Price Growth Seeps into Seventh Straight Month
?House Prices in Several Top Markets are Now Falling, says Chief Economist Mark?
SANTA ANA, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--
First American Data & Analytics, a leading national provider of property-centric information, risk management and valuation solutions and a division of First American Financial Corporation
July1 Home Price Index
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Market |
|
Metric |
Change in HPI |
June-July 2024 (month over month) |
+3.3 percent |
July 2023-July 2024 (year over year) |
+0.1 percent |
National HPI |
|
Metric |
Change in HPI |
June-July 2024 (month over month) |
+0.3 percent |
July 2023-July 2024 (year over year) |
+5.3 percent |
Chief Economist National HPI Analysis:
?July marked the seventh consecutive month of slowing annualized house price appreciation. Elevated mortgage rates have driven affordability to near-record lows, leaving many buyers on the sidelines and keeping sellers rate locked-in,? said Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American. ?The combination of the severely unaffordable market conditions and the rate lock-in effect has largely frozen home buying and selling, contributing to the cooling but still positive pace of appreciation. However, the prospect of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this fall has already sent mortgage rates lower in August, which may spur some buyers and sellers to act and begin to defrost market transaction volume.?
Year-Over-Year Price-Tier Data for the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metro Area: July 2023 to July 2024
The First American Data & Analytics HPI segments home price changes at the metropolitan level into three price tiers based on local market sales data: starter tier, which represents home sales prices at the bottom third of the market price distribution; mid-tier, which represents home sales prices in the middle third of the market price distribution; and the luxury tier, which represents home sales prices in the top third of the market price distribution.
CBSA |
Starter |
Mid-Tier |
Luxury |
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land |
3.8% |
2.4% |
4.5% |
?While the national house price trend is interesting, real estate is inherently local and prices are not appreciating in all markets,? said Fleming. ?Annual price growth remains strong in top markets where demand continues to outpace supply or where relative affordability is a draw, such as Anaheim, Calif., and Pittsburgh. In markets that offer relative affordability, homes remain more accessible compared to other major markets, making them attractive to buyers who are priced out of higher-cost regions, despite rising prices. In contrast, house prices in other markets are decelerating notably, with prices declining in cities like Austin, Texas, and Tampa, Fla.?
July 2024 First American Data & Analytics Price Tier HPI Highlights
Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) Ranked by Greatest Year-Over-Year Increases in Starter Tier HPI |
|||
CBSA |
Change in Starter Tier HPI |
Change in Mid-Tier HPI |
Change in Luxury Tier HPI |
Pittsburgh |
+13.5 percent |
+5.4 percent |
+2.9 percent |
St. Louis |
+10.3 percent |
+3.9 percent |
+4.1 percent |
New York |
+7.5 percent |
+3.7 percent |
-1.7 percent |
Anaheim, Calif. |
+7.4 percent |
+9.4 percent |
+12.6 percent |
Nassau County, N.Y. |
+7.4 percent |
+4.5 percent |
+0.7 percent |
Additional July 2024 First American Data & Analytics HPI Highlights
Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) with Greatest Year-Over-Year Increases in HPI |
|
CBSA |
Change in HPI |
Anaheim, Calif. |
+9.9 percent |
Pittsburgh |
+6.9 percent |
Cambridge, Mass. |
+6.8 percent |
Miami |
+6.7 percent |
Seattle |
+6.1 percent |
Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) with a Year-Over-Year Decrease in HPI |
|
Austin, Texas |
-1.0 percent |
Oakland, Calif. |
-0.9 percent |
Tampa, Fla. |
-0.7 percent |
HPI data for all 50 states and the largest 30 CBSAs by population is available here.
Next Release
The next release of the First American Data & Analytics House Price Index will take place the week of September 17, 2024.
First American Data & Analytics HPI Methodology
The First American Data & Analytics HPI report measures single-family home prices, including distressed sales, with indices updated monthly beginning in 1980 through the month of the current report. HPI data is provided at the national, state and CBSA levels and includes preliminary index estimates for the month prior to the report (i.e. the preliminary result of July transactions is reported in August). The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available.
The HPI uses a repeat-sales methodology, which measures prices changes for the same property over time using more than 46 million paired transactions to generate the indices. In non-disclosure states, the HPI utilizes a combination of public sales records, MLS sold and active listings, and appraisal data to estimate house prices. This comprehensive approach is particularly effective in areas where there is limited availability of accurate sale prices, such as non-disclosure states. Property type, price and location data are used to create more refined market segment indices. Real Estate-Owned transactions are not included.
Disclaimer
Opinions, estimates, forecasts and other views contained in this page are those of First American?s Chief Economist, do not necessarily represent the views of First American or its management, should not be construed as indicating First American?s business prospects or expected results, and are subject to change without notice. Although the First American Economics team attempts to provide reliable, useful information, it does not guarantee that the information is accurate, current or suitable for any particular purpose. ? 2024 by First American. Information from this page may be used with proper attribution.
About First American Data & Analytics
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About First American
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1 The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available.
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Source: First American Financial Corporation