Yen, Swiss franc rally on global outlook risks after hawkish Powell

BY Reuters | ECONOMIC | 11/29/21 07:48 PM EST

By Caroline Valetkevitch and Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The safe-haven yen and Swiss Franc gained on Tuesday, with risk appetite plummeting, as investors grew nervous about a suddenly hawkish Federal Reserve that could deliver aggressive rate hikes and derail a nascent economic recovery.

Worries about the new Omicron coronavirus variant also kept a bid in these safe-haven currencies.

The dollar, on the other hand, retreated on Tuesday after rising when Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the risk of inflation had increased and suggested retiring the term "transitory" to describe the surge in prices. He also pushed for accelerating the tapering of Fed asset purchases.

His comments suggested an urgency to undertake quick monetary policy action that financial markets may not be prepared for, analysts said.

"Overall, the risks to the short-term outlook keep on growing. Investors have always viewed the Fed as the safety net, but the Fed looks like its panicking here," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst, at OANDA in New York.

"The Fed was wrong on inflation. And now it appears they're going to rush tapering and quickly deliver rate hikes. And if the inflationary pressure remains, you could see an accelerated rate hike cycle that could threaten financial conditions."

In late trading, the dollar fell 0.4% against the yen to 113.065 yen.

Against the Swiss franc, the dollar dropped 0.4% to 0.9185 francs.

The dollar index fell 0.3% to 95.90. It rallied earlier, while U.S. stocks fell, after Powell's hawkish remarks.

"Traders are in 'sell first and ask questions later' mode," said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at Cambridge Global Payments in Toronto.

Earlier, the yen and Swiss franc rose against the dollar, after Moderna's (MRNA) CEO said the coronavirus vaccines will likely be less effective against the Omicron variant as they have been against other variants.

Adding to the fears, drugmaker Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc said on Tuesday its COVID-19 antibody treatment could be less effective against Omicron.

The warnings reinforced a view that the global economy could take longer to return to pre-pandemic levels than many had been expecting.

Against the U.S. dollar, the euro rose 0.4% to$1.1335, posting its biggest three-day rising streak since December 2020.

Prior to Omicron's arrival, the main driver of currency moves was how traders perceived the different speeds at which global central banks would end pandemic-era stimulus and raise interest rates as they looked to combat rising inflation without choking off growth.

Cryptocurrencies also had a volatile trading session. Ethereum was last up 4.8% at $4,668. Bitcoin was down 0.3% at $57,645.

Graphic: World FX rates https://graphics.reuters.com/GLOBAL-CURRENCIES-PERFORMANCE/0100301V041/index.html

Currency bid prices at 4:11PM (2111 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Dollar index 95.8590 96.1990 -0.34% 6.532% +96.6470 +95.5440

Euro/Dollar $1.1340 $1.1293 +0.44% -7.17% +$1.1387 +$1.1235

Dollar/Yen 113.0350 113.5300 -0.45% +9.38% +113.8900 +112.5350

Euro/Yen 128.19 128.19 +0.00% +1.00% +128.6000 +127.6500

Dollar/Swiss 0.9181 0.9227 -0.49% +3.78% +0.9266 +0.9158

Sterling/Dollar $1.3306 $1.3318 -0.06% -2.58% +$1.3370 +$1.3195

Dollar/Canadian 1.2775 1.2738 +0.29% +0.32% +1.2837 +1.2732

Aussie/Dollar $0.7130 $0.7143 -0.19% -7.32% +$0.7170 +$0.7063

Euro/Swiss 1.0411 1.0418 -0.07% -3.66% +1.0444 +1.0391

Euro/Sterling 0.8520 0.8477 +0.51% -4.67% +0.8538 +0.8474

NZ $0.6827 $0.6825 +0.02% -4.94% +$0.6856 +$0.6773

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway 9.0360 9.0455 -0.12% +5.21% +9.1260 +9.0080

Euro/Norway 10.2458 10.1786 +0.66% -2.11% +10.3158 +10.1737

Dollar/Sweden 9.0179 9.0594 -0.06% +10.02% +9.1103 +9.0069

Euro/Sweden 10.2270 10.2336 -0.06% +1.49% +10.3036 +10.2077

In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.

Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

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