The U.S. economy just delivered a blockbuster third quarter, but traders are already betting that the pace will start to cool sharply. Prediction markets reacted quickly after the stronger-than-expected growth data, raising wagers on slower growth in the fourth quarter and potentially into 2026 despite the headline surprise.
U.S. stocks traded higher midway through trading, with the Dow Jones index gaining more than 100 points on Tuesday. The Dow traded up 0.22% to 48,469.41 while the NASDAQ rose 0.40% to 23,521.69. The S&P 500 also rose, gaining, 0.34% to 6,901.90. Check This Out: Meta Platforms To $815? Leading and Lagging SectorsCommunication services shares rose by 0.5% on Tuesday.
The U.S. economy's 4.3% third-quarter growth ignited a political victory lap and a fierce economist debate, as President Donald Trump celebrated. Trump took to social media minutes after the GDP release, framing the report as a sweeping validation of his economic agenda. "Q3 GDP came in at 4.3%, blowing past expectations," Trump said.
U.S. stocks traded mixed this morning, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining around 0.2% on Tuesday. Following the market opening Tuesday, the Dow traded down 0.01% to 48,357.98 while the NASDAQ jumped 0.19% to 23,473.74. The S&P 500 also rose, gaining, 0.15% to 6,888.53. Check This Out: Meta Platforms To $815? Leading and Lagging SectorsCommunication services shares rose by 0.9% on Tuesday.
Editor?s Note: This story has been updated to include additional U.S. economic data for the third quarter of 2025. The U.S. economy continued to show an exceptional resilience in the third quarter. Gross domestic product expanded at an annualized 4.3% rate in the July-to-September period, according to the initial estimate released Tuesday by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Bitcoin is consolidating below $90,000, but BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes says the pause masks a powerful liquidity-driven move that could send the cryptocurrency to $200,000 in 2026. What Happened: In his latest essay, "Love Language," Hayes argues the Federal Reserve's newly introduced "Reserve Management Purchases" program is effectively a rebranded form of Quantitative Easing.
Market frustration with the November Consumer Price Index is not about how low inflation printed. The report showed that annual CPI inflation slowed to 2.7% in November from 3% in September. Yet economists and inflation watchers argue that the figure was mechanically distorted by the federal government shutdown, which halted data collection in October.
Bitcoin is back to $86,000 in volatile U.S. trading hours on Thursday, which saw inflation cool more than expected in November. What Happened: Market commentatr The Kobeissi Letter highlighted that U.S. core CPI fell to 2.6% year-over-year, the lowest since March 2021 and a sharp downside surprise versus expectations. The print marked one of the largest inflation decelerations since 2023.
U.S. inflation cooled more than expected in November, giving investors renewed confidence that price pressures are easing and strengthening expectations that the Federal Reserve's easing cycle can stay on track into 2026. The Consumer Price Index rose 2.7% year over year in November 2025, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday.
Inflation picked up again in November, marking a third consecutive increase and reviving investor concerns that the central bank may be forced into an extended pause in its easing cycle. The Consumer Price Index rose 3.1% year-over-year in November 2025, hitting the highest inflation rate since May 2024, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday.
The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed a decline in the overall market sentiment, while the index remained in the ?Neutral? zone on Tuesday. U.S. stocks settled mixed on Monday, with the Dow Jones index falling more than 300 points during the session as mixed labor market data failed to ignite a fresh wave of risk-on sentiment.
The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed a decline in the overall market sentiment, while the index remained in the ?Neutral? zone on Tuesday. U.S. stocks settled mixed on Monday, with the Dow Jones index falling more than 300 points during the session as mixed labor market data failed to ignite a fresh wave of risk-on sentiment.
The U.S. labor market showed further signs of cooling in November as nonfarm payrolls rose by 64,000, only modestly above expectations but still weak by historical standards, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly climbed to 4.6%, The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.6% to 48,114.26, while the S&P 500 dropped 0.2% to 6,800.26. The Nasdaq rose 0.2% to 23,111.46. These are the top stocks tha...
Bitcoin is up 1% on Tuesday after weaker U.S. unemployment data revived expectations of the Federal Reserve delivering another rate cut in January. Notable Statistics: Notable Developments: Trader Notes: Crypto technical analyst Kevin said Bitcoin is behaving as expected in the late stages of a major correction.
New York Life Investments launched a new actively managed municipal bond ETF, designed to serve those investors wanting to attain higher levels of tax-exempt income with interest rates near record highs. ? What?s ahead for MMCA stock?
Bitcoin is down 3% over the past week, dashing expectations that the Federal Reserve?s rate cut the week prior would spark a relief rally. According to Wintermute?s latest market update, the rate cut, which came with projections implying just one rate cut across all of 2026, has resulted in uncertainty rather than upside momentum for Bitcoin.
Former Federal Reserve governor Kevin Warsh has emerged as the new frontrunner to succeed Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve. What Happened: On Tuesday, Polymarket traders assign Warsh a 46% probability to be President Trump?s nominee?up from 39% on Monday and a sharp rise from 11% one week prior.
Editor's Note: This story has been updated to include the latest data and market reaction. The U.S. labor market showed clearer signs of cooling in November, as job growth broadly met already subdued expectations while the unemployment rate rose more than anticipated, intensifying concerns that the slowdown is becoming more fragile.
The U.S. labor market showed clearer signs of cooling in November, as job growth met already subdued expectations while the unemployment rate rose more than anticipated, intensifying concerns that the slowdown is becoming more fragile.
The U.S. labor market showed clearer signs of cooling in November, as job growth broadly met already subdued expectations while the unemployment rate rose more than anticipated, intensifying concerns that the slowdown is becoming more fragile.
As the week ends, it?s time to catch up on the top stories that shaped the week. Michael Burry, the investor who famously predicted the 2008 housing collapse, has raised a red flag about the U.S. banking system. Read the full article?here. President Donald Trump?s persistent use of tariffs as a tool to address America?s trade deficit finally paid off in September.
Global X Management Company launched the Global X Gold Miners ETF (AUAU) on Wednesday, offering an additional investment choice within gold and silver mining stocks as gold prices soar. The news comes at a time when gold prices have been trending near historical highs due to geopolitical tensions, uncertain global economic forecasts, and shifts in central bank policy.
RH shares rose Friday even after the luxury retailer missed Q3 earnings estimates and cut full-year guidance. RH reported earnings of $1.71 per share, missing the $2.16 analyst estimate by 20.87%. Following the print, Telsey Advisory Group analyst Cristina Fern?ndez reiterated a Market Perform rating but lowered her price target from $220 to $185.
An unusual three-way division within the Federal Reserve system has brought several corners of the ETF universe into focus as market participants reassess which corners might be more impacted by changes in respective GDP and interest rate forecasts.
Royal Bank of Canada (RY) has outperformed the market over the past 5 years by 1.95% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 15.22%. Currently, Royal Bank of Canada (RY) has a market capitalization of $236.57 billion. Buying $1000 In RY: If an investor had bought $1000 of RY stock 5 years ago, it would be worth $2,032.62 today based on a price of $167.75 for RY at the time of writing.
Bitcoin has rebounded above $91,000, one day after the Federal Reserve delivered the expected 25 basis points cut. Notable Statistics: Notable Developments: Trader Notes: Michael van de Poppe highlighted that both the Nasdaq and Bitcoin dipped post-FOMC to flush out late long positions.
The Federal Reserve delivered its third straight 25 basis points rate cut to close out 2025, briefly lifting retail optimism for Bitcoin and Ethereum before the market quickly reversed course. What Happened: On-chain platform Santiment noted that while lower rates typically boost risk assets by increasing liquidity and weakening the dollar, retail enthusiasm peaked before the announcement.
Rate-market pricing swung sharply after Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting. On Thursday, retail prediction market Polymarket showed the probability of no change in January jumping to 82%, leaving just 18% odds of a 25-basis-point cut. Fed funds futures moved in the same direction, though with a slightly softer skew.
For months, President Donald Trump has insisted that America's huge trade deficit could be tamed with one blunt tool: tariffs. In September, the numbers finally moved his way. New figures from the Census Bureau on Thursday show the U.S. trade deficit narrowed to $52.8 billion in September, the smallest gap since June 2020.
The stock market experienced a day of mixed results as the?S&P 500?and the?Nasdaq?indices reacted to the Federal Reserve?s decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. The Federal Open Market Committee?s revised guidance suggests a more cautious approach to future rate adjustments, indicating potential delays or smaller cuts.
Bitcoin is spiked briefly to $94,000 after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Notable Statistics: Notable Developments: Trader Notes: Crypto trader Michael van de Poppe said traders are sticking to the standard FOMC playbook ? avoid leverage, avoid trading the announcement, expect the first move to be a head-fake, and wait for the real trend to form in the following days.
AST SpaceMobile Inc (ASTS) shares are trading higher Wednesday afternoon, climbing 3.6% immediately following the Federal Reserve?s decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. What To Know: The Fed?s move to lower the federal funds target range to 3.5%-3.75% has ignited a rally across high-beta sectors, including space technology.
J.P. Morgan Asset Management is about to engage in some serious product renovation, announcing plans to turn four U.S. mutual funds into ETFs next year. These proposed conversions represent approximately $4.6 billion in assets as of Oct 31, and encompass municipal bond, preferred securities, and equity strategies-what the firm describes as ideal ETF candidates.
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.5%?3.75%, delivering a third consecutive reduction that met expectations but exposed a widening policy divide?within the central bank. Policymakers decided to ease borrowing costs again, even as inflation remains elevated, citing a softer labor market as the reason.
Carvana Co (CVNA) stock is trading higher Wednesday as markets brace for a pivotal Federal Reserve decision that is widely expected to deliver a third consecutive interest rate reduction. What To Know: While CME FedWatch data indicates a 25-basis-point cut is nearly fully priced in for the Dec. 10 meeting, analysts caution that the real market mover will be the central bank's forward guidance.
JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) shares are trading higher Wednesday morning as investors position themselves ahead of Wednesday afternoon?s pivotal Federal Reserve decision. While a 25-basis-point cut is nearly fully priced in, the real market mover will be the potential for a ?hawkish cut,? a scenario where the Fed eases slightly but signals a potential pause in 2026.
Since late October, gold's remarkable rally encountered? a steep correction ? a victim of both risk-off sentiment in the technology sphere, along with concerns that the Federal Reserve would adopt a more pensive approach to monetary policy. Still, shortly after Halloween, sentiment has been steadily marching higher.
Cryptocurrency bettors are almost certain that the?Federal Reserve?will enact a quarter-point interest rate cut at the end of its December meeting on Wednesday. The?odds?of a 25 basis-point cut stood at 97%?on the decentralized prediction platform?Polymarket, up from 70% only a month ago.
Mortgage rates are unlikely to plunge after this week's Federal Reserve meeting, but borrowers could see a slow, uneven drift lower rather than an immediate break, economists and housing forecasters say.
The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed some easing in the overall fear level, while the index remained in the ?Fear? zone on Tuesday. U.S. stocks settled mixed on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones index falling over 150 points during the session ahead of the interest-rate decision by the Federal Reserve.
U.S. stock futures are down on Tuesday night ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee?s key interest rates decision on Wednesday. All three major indices are currently in the red, with?Nasdaq Futures?down 0.19%, or 49 points, trading at 25,650.75, while the?S&P 500 Futures?are down 0.08% and 5.25 points, at 6,843.00, followed by the?Dow Jones Futures?at 47,594.00, down 0.04% or 19 points.
An Italian investment bank is breaking with an almost unanimous Wall Street consensus ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting, predicting policymakers will hold rates steady despite markets treating another cut as nearly guaranteed. Futures markets are pricing in a roughly 88% chance of a 25-basis-point cut at the Dec. 10 meeting, according to CME Fed Watch tool.
BMI Research has struck an optimistic but cautious outlook for the metals market in 2026. As clarified in the note "Mining and Metals Key Themes For 2026: Global Economic Stability to Drive Gains," BMI forecasts that "the global economy [will] stabilize with easing trade frictions," helping to underpin commodity consumption. A key factor, as BMI sees it, is diminishing tariff uncertainty.
A 25-basis-point cut is almost fully priced for the Dec. 10 Federal Reserve meeting, with CME FedWatch data showing nearly a 90% chance for the third straight interest-rate reduction. Yet, some analysts are warning traders not to get overly excited about the move itself.
Silver steadied near $58.50 an ounce in Asian trading on Monday, just below last week's all-time high, as traders braced for a widely expected Federal Reserve rate cut. The metal has more than doubled this year, outperforming gold's 60% surge by a wide margin. One-month lease rates in London remain near 6%, underscoring how scarce physical supply has become.
Investor Kevin O?Leary warned that inflation remains a greater threat to the U.S. economy than the financial markets want to admit, while arguing that aggressive political pressure on the Federal Reserve risks undermining the country's global credibility.
If the Federal Reserve needed any encouragement toward easing, the latest ADP numbers are pushing in that direction. "Hiring has been choppy of late as employers weather cautious consumers and an uncertain macroeconomic environment. Zooming out provides a clearer picture.
Economic data released Friday showed the Fed's preferred inflation gauge eased slightly in September, while early December readings pointed to a rebound in consumer sentiment as inflation expectations cooled. The Bureau of Economic Analysis published the delayed September Personal Income and Outlays report, pushed back several weeks due to the government shutdown.
The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed some easing in the overall fear level, while the index remained in the ?Fear? zone on Thursday. U.S. stocks settled mixed on Thursday, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining around 50 points during the session ahead of next week?s widely expected Federal Reserve rate cut.
In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.
Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.
Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.
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