Amid rising concerns about a potential ?death spiral? in the U.S. Treasury market, major international investors remain unfazed. What Happened: European money managers, Australian pension funds, and Japanese insurers are still favoring U.S. Treasuries, attracted by their yield premiums compared to other markets.
The U.S. bond market is sending significant signals to Wall Street and Washington as Treasury yields approach levels not seen in nearly two decades, potentially complicating the incoming president-elect Donald Trump administration?s economic agenda. What Happened: The yield on the 10-year Treasury has surged more than 1% since September, nearing the psychologically important 5% threshold.
The allure of 5% yields is driving investor inflows into long-dated Treasury ETFs, even as persistent bond market losses and rising macro uncertainties complicate the interest-rate outlook. Last week, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF saw a staggering $1.5 billion in inflows, as etfdb.com data shows.
Mortgage rates last week reached their highest levels since July 2024 with the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate staying above 7%, according to Bankrate. The Details: Mortgage rates have climbed higher following recent economic data which has dampened Wall Street's expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut rates in the near future and caused 10-year Treasury yields to surge.
As U.S. Treasury yields approach the psychological 5% mark which it last saw briefly in 2023 and during the global financial crisis in 2008, analysts seem less concerned, calling this yield convulsion an overreaction. What Happened: The U.S. 30-year Treasury yielded 4.95% by the end of the trading session on Friday, however, it touched a high of 5.005% intraday.
The labor market ended 2024 on a strong note, adding 256,000 jobs in December, exceeding economist forecasts and showcasing once again the resilience of the U.S. economy. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 256,000 last month, up from the downwardly revised 212,000 in November and sharply surpassing economist expectations of 160,000 payrolls as tracked by TradingEconomics.
The Federal Reserve indicated a more tempered approach to interest rate cuts in 2025. That?s according to minutes from the Fed?s December meeting, which were released on Wednesday, Jan. 8. Investor interest shifted toward treasury bonds, as the 10-year yield briefly touched 4.73% on Wednesday, amid resurfacing inflation fears and anticipation around potential tariffs and tax policies.
SoundHound AI Inc.?s shares are trading lower Wednesday potentially from continued momentum due to sector-wide challenges. What To Know: The broader tech selloff follows NVIDIA Inc.?s mixed reception at CES 2025 and rising treasury yields on Tuesday. Economic data may have also added to the decline.
The U.S. dollar extended its rally to a 14-month high and Treasury yields continued their relentless rise on Wednesday as speculation grew that President-elect Donald Trump is considering invoking sweeping emergency powers to implement new tariffs, fueling fears of inflation and policy uncertainty.
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The U.S. economy expanded at an annualized real growth rate of 3.1% in the third quarter of 2024, exceeding the prior estimate of 2.8%, according to the official final reading released on Thursday. This marks the fastest pace of economic expansion since the fourth quarter of 2023 and signals a stronger-than-expected rebound in activity.
A widely expected increase in the October Personal Consumption Expenditures price index ? commonly regarded as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge ? triggered fresh losses for the U.S. dollar, while Treasury yields and U.S. stocks also slid in tandem.
The victory of President-elect Donald Trump accompanied by stronger-than-expected economic data has been able to shrug off the worries from the rise in Treasury yields as the S&P 500 Index, which fell by 2.3% last week at 5,870.62 is still higher than its pre-election levels of 5,712.69 points on Monday, Nov. 4. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell?s pirouette on interest rate reduction on Th...
Yields on U.S. sovereign debt rose during election night as investors digested the preliminary results from the closely contested fight between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.
In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.
Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.
Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.
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