The Federal Reserve holds its first meeting with Kevin Warsh in charge, Donald Trump is due to meet other world leaders in France having just struck a framework peace deal with Iran, and a by-election in northern England could launch a contest to oust Britain's prime minister.
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said on Monday that the ceasefire agreement reached with Iran was "good news", especially as it could lead to a re-opening of the Strait of Hormuz. "If this news is confirmed by developments in the coming days and the signing of a memorandum of understanding ... it is good news.
* US and Iran agree peace proposals, to open Strait of Hormuz. * Nikkei and Kospi surge, Wall St futures jump. * US dollar eases as Treasury yields fall. * Markets pare risk of interest-rate hikes globally. By Wayne Cole.
Expectations for U.S. monetary tightening and a strong dollar have taken some wind out of the "perfect storm" powering an upswing in gold since 2023, leaving prices in vulnerable territory around $4,000 per ounce as the interest rate backdrop unfolds.
The Group of Seven wealthy nations will meet on Monday in the French lakeside resort of Evian-les-Bains to discuss wars in Ukraine and Iran, global economic imbalances that threaten financial stability, and the irrepressible rise of AI.
* US and Iran agree to peace deal, fully open Strait of Hormuz. * Nikkei and Kospi surge, Wall St futures jump. * US dollar eases as Treasury yields fall. * Markets pare risk of interest-rate hikes globally. By Wayne Cole.
* US and Iran agree to peace deal, to open Strait of Hormuz. * Wall St futures jump, Nikkei futures surge. * US dollar eases as Treasury yields fall. * Markets pare risk of interest-rate hikes globally. By Wayne Cole.
* US and Iran agree to peace deal, to open Strait of Hormuz. * Wall St futures jump, Nikkei futures surge. * US dollar eases as Treasury yields fall. * Markets pare risk of interest-rate hikes globally. By Wayne Cole.
* Fed chair Warsh set to lead first meeting. * Central bank expected to hold rates steady on Wednesday. * Indexes down from record highs as tech stocks falter. By Lewis Krauskopf. A suddenly rocky U.S. stock market confronts a potential wildcard next week: A newly led Federal Reserve at a time investors are worried that interest rate hikes to fight inflation could dampen enthusiasm for equities.
A suddenly rocky U.S. stock market confronts a potential wildcard next week: A newly led Federal Reserve at a time investors are worried that interest rate hikes to fight inflation could dampen enthusiasm for equities.
* MOODY'S RATINGS AFFIRMS ABU DHABI'S AA2 RATINGS, MAINTAINS STABLE OUTLOOK. * MOODY'S: OUTLOOK REFLECTS EXPECTATION THAT ABU DHABI'S CREDIT PROFILE WILL REMAIN RESILIENT TO TRADE DISRUPTIONS FLOWS VIA STRAIT OF HORMUZ FOR 2026 Source text: Further company coverage: [ ]
* Fed chair Warsh set to lead first meeting. * Central bank expected to hold rates steady on Wednesday. * Indexes down from record highs as tech stocks falter. By Lewis Krauskopf. A suddenly rocky U.S. stock market confronts a potential wildcard next week: A newly led Federal Reserve at a time investors are worried that interest rate hikes to fight inflation could dampen enthusiasm for equities.
Peru's economy is "doing well," underpinned by rising domestic demand and private investment, central bank chief economist Adrian Armas said on Friday, although he warned the El Ni?o weather pattern could cloud the outlook.
* Traders monitor potential US-Iran peace deal. * Policy meeting under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh may bring changes to communication style. * Markets expect interest rates to remain on hold. * Focus will be on Warsh's press conference, rate-hike signals. By Karen Brettell.
* Indexes: Dow up 0.76%, S&P 500 up 0.51%, Nasdaq up 0.27% * U.S. equity funds record first weekly outflow in three weeks. * SpaceX surges after public debut, set for $2 trln in market cap. * Space stocks slide after rallying ahead of SpaceX debut. * Adobe drops after exit of CFO Dan Durn. By Johann M Cherian and Twesha Dikshit.
* U.S.-Iran peace memorandum could be signed on Sunday in Geneva. * Spot gold down 2.7% so far for the week. * Markets await June 16-17 Federal Reserve meeting. * Palladium heads for weekly gain. By Anushree Mukherjee. Gold headed for a second straight weekly loss on Friday as expectations of higher interest rates weighed on the non-yielding metal ahead of next week's Federal Reserve meeting.
* Consumer sentiment index rises to 48.9 in June, above economists' expectations for a 46.0 reading. * Lower-income households lead broad improvement in sentiment. * Inflation expectations ease to still-elevated levels. By Lucia Mutikani.
Brazilian digital lender Nubank said on Friday it was aware of an erroneous message sent to customers claiming the firm was liquidated by the country's central bank, adding the incident resulted from an "one-time operational error." In a statement, Nubank, which is listed in New York under Nu
Holdings (NU), said the incident was under internal investigation, and did not affect clients' data protection.
Expectations for U.S. monetary tightening and a strong dollar have taken some wind out of the "perfect storm" powering an upswing in gold since 2023, leaving prices in vulnerable territory around $4,000 per ounce as the interest rate backdrop unfolds.
* Traders monitor potential US-Iran peace deal. * Policy meeting under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh may bring changes to communication style. * Markets expect interest rates to remain on hold. * Focus will be on Warsh's press conference, rate-hike signals. By Karen Brettell.
U.S. consumer sentiment bounced off record lows in early June as easing gasoline prices offered households some relief, though concerns about inflation stoked by the Middle East conflict lingered. Lower-income households led the broad improvement in sentiment reported by the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers on Friday.
Brazil's consumer inflation accelerated more than expected in May, official data showed on Friday, breaching the top of the central bank's target range for the first time since October ahead of a key rate decision next week.
From the Editor. Hello Morning Bid readers! While markets expect the Federal Reserve to sit on its hands at its June 17 meeting, they are pricing in a strong chance of a 25-basis-point rate hike by December. Of course, the global inflation picture is still largely dependent on two questions: when will the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran end and what will the final deal look like?
* BOJ to review taper plan, lay out new one beyond fiscal 2027. * Board split between advocates of pause, steady normalisation. * Runoff of maturing JGBs will keep reducing BOJ's bond holdings. * BOJ to announce decision after two-day meeting ending June 16. By Leika Kihara and Takahiko Wada.
By Leika Kihara and Takahiko Wada. The Bank of Japan will consider suspending the reduction in its government bond purchases from April 2027 onward, sources said, pausing a taper process that would mark a turning point in its quantitative tightening plan.
A suddenly rocky U.S. stock market confronts a potential wildcard next week: A newly led Federal Reserve at a time investors are worried that interest rate hikes to fight inflation could dampen enthusiasm for equities.
* Fed chair Warsh set to lead first meeting. * Central bank expected to hold rates steady on Wednesday. * Indexes down from record highs as tech stocks falter. By Lewis Krauskopf. A suddenly rocky U.S. stock market confronts a potential wildcard next week: A newly led Federal Reserve at a time investors are worried that interest rate hikes to fight inflation could dampen enthusiasm for equities.
* Hungarian forint nears multi-year highs. * India may allow fiscal deficit to widen to 4.8% of GDP, Bloomberg News reports. * Oil prices slip over 4% By Avinash P. Emerging market assets gained on Friday after U.S. President Donald Trump signalled a deal to end the Iran war could be signed as soon as this weekend.
The Federal Reserve holds its first meeting with Kevin Warsh in charge, Donald Trump is due to meet other world leaders in France as the Iran war drags on, while a by-election in northern England could launch a contest to oust Britain's prime minister.
* Sterling gains despite UK GDP contraction and entertainment sector hit. * Investors focus on Middle East peace optimism, easing energy cost concerns. * Upcoming by-election and Bank of England meeting seen as key for sterling. By Amanda Cooper.
The following are the top stories on the New York Times business pages. - SpaceX, Elon Musk's rocket and satellite maker, officially finalized its initial public offering price at $135 a share. - The war in the Middle East is slowing global economic growth this year to its weakest pace since the Covid-19 pandemic, according to a World Bank report.
The dollar found its footing in early trading on Friday, after sliding to its weakest in a week as traders parsed reports that a ceasefire deal in the Middle East could be imminent. Against the yen, the U.S. currency was up 0.1% at 160.07 yen. The euro last bought $1.1576, holding near its strongest in a week after the European Central Bank's first interest rate hike in three years on Thursday.
By Leika Kihara. The Bank of Japan is set to raise interest rates to a 31-year high next week and signal its readiness to keep pushing up borrowing costs, undeterred by the absence of its governor as it focuses on countering inflation risks from the Middle East war.
Peru's central bank held its benchmark interest rate at 4.25% on Thursday, extending its pause for a ninth straight meeting, in line with market expectations.
New Zealand's manufacturing activity contracted slightly in May, slipping back into negative territory after seven months of expansion, as businesses remained concerned about weak demand and global economic pressures. The Bank of New Zealand-Business NZ's seasonally adjusted Performance of Manufacturing Index fell to 49.9 in May from 50.4 in April and 52.8 in March.
The New York Federal Reserve's operations desk plans to conduct about $16.5 billion in reinvestment purchases and an additional approximately $10 billion in reserve management purchases between June 12 and July 13, it said in a schedule released on Thursday.
* Treasury yields fall after Trump halts planned military strikes on Iran. * Fed rate hike odds for December drop to 55% * Treasury sees soft demand for 30-year bonds in auction. By Karen Brettell.
* Wall Street indexes rally after Trump announcement of Middle East agreement. * Oil, U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury yields fall. * Gold rallies after touching more than 6-month low. By Sin?ad Carew and Marc Jones.
U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in May, leading to the largest annual gain in 3-1/2 years as the Middle East conflict boosted the cost of energy products, providing more evidence that inflation pressures were building up.
European Central Bank policymakers see keeping interest rates on hold at their next meeting in July as the more likely scenario, if energy prices stayed near their current level, two sources told Reuters.
Denmark's central bank raised its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 1.85% on Thursday as expected, following the European Central Bank's decision earlier in the day to hike rates.
* ECB delivers first rate hike since 2023. * Hot inflation keeps investors on edge about US rate outlook. * BOJ chief Ueda hospitalised and will miss next week's meeting. By Chibuike Oguh.
* Producer Price Index increases 1.1% in May, above expectations for a 0.7% gain. * Goods prices, mostly energy, account for nearly 80% of the rise in the PPI. * Wholesale goods prices excluding food and energy post largest monthly gain since April 2022. * Weekly jobless claims increase 4,000 to 229,000. By Lucia Mutikani.
* ECB raises rates for first time in nearly three years, BoC on hold. * Fed, BoE set to hold next week, BOJ likely to hike. * Switzerland and Sweden not in any rush. By Stefano Rebaudo and Alun John.
* US, Iranian attacks dent peace deal hopes. * US producer prices increase more than expected in May. * Traders see 69% chance of US rate hike in December. By Anushree Mukherjee.
The World Bank on Thursday cut its global growth forecast for 2026 to 2.5% due to the war in the Middle East, and said growth could slow to just 1.3% if energy supply disruptions prove more severe and come with substantial stress in financial markets.
In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible.
Lower-quality debt securities generally offer higher yields, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Any fixed income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.
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